Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia

Wise-use of land resources determines sustainability of environment and human welfare. But, the ongoing land-use change constrains environmental sustainability. Thus, this study aims to quantify past and future land-use change trend with its associated drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape of So...

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Main Authors: Aden Abdurahman, Eshetu Yirsaw, Wondifraw Nigussie, Kitessa Hundera
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Geocarto International
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2229952
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author Aden Abdurahman
Eshetu Yirsaw
Wondifraw Nigussie
Kitessa Hundera
author_facet Aden Abdurahman
Eshetu Yirsaw
Wondifraw Nigussie
Kitessa Hundera
author_sort Aden Abdurahman
collection DOAJ
description Wise-use of land resources determines sustainability of environment and human welfare. But, the ongoing land-use change constrains environmental sustainability. Thus, this study aims to quantify past and future land-use change trend with its associated drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape of Southern Ethiopia. To quantify the change trends, geospatial tools were applied. A CA–Markov model was used to predict land-use changes. Relative Importance Index was used to identify major drivers of the change. The result of the study showed agroforestry, built-up and cultivation rise by 192%, 152% and 18% at the expense of natural environment. Population growth and agricultural expansion are among the leading land-use change drivers. CA–Markov model revealed a continued increment of anthropogenically modified land-use classes which adversely affect the sustainability of the landscape. Information on spatiotemporal dynamics has been confirmed as effectual measure for nature conservation, agriculture, urban planners, and policymakers to plan sustainable development actions.
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spelling doaj.art-a3d624b73a604a4183efafcdc0b6c5182023-09-19T09:13:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622023-12-0138110.1080/10106049.2023.22299522229952Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern EthiopiaAden Abdurahman0Eshetu Yirsaw1Wondifraw Nigussie2Kitessa Hundera3Department of Natural Resources Management, Jimma University College of Agriculture and Veterinary MedicineDepartment of Natural Resources Management, Dilla University College of Agriculture and Natural ResourcesDepartment of Land Administration and Surveying, Dilla University College of Agriculture and Natural ResourcesDepartment of Biology, Jimma University College of Computational and Natural ScienceWise-use of land resources determines sustainability of environment and human welfare. But, the ongoing land-use change constrains environmental sustainability. Thus, this study aims to quantify past and future land-use change trend with its associated drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape of Southern Ethiopia. To quantify the change trends, geospatial tools were applied. A CA–Markov model was used to predict land-use changes. Relative Importance Index was used to identify major drivers of the change. The result of the study showed agroforestry, built-up and cultivation rise by 192%, 152% and 18% at the expense of natural environment. Population growth and agricultural expansion are among the leading land-use change drivers. CA–Markov model revealed a continued increment of anthropogenically modified land-use classes which adversely affect the sustainability of the landscape. Information on spatiotemporal dynamics has been confirmed as effectual measure for nature conservation, agriculture, urban planners, and policymakers to plan sustainable development actions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2229952agricultural landscapegeospatialkooreland-use/land-covermodeling
spellingShingle Aden Abdurahman
Eshetu Yirsaw
Wondifraw Nigussie
Kitessa Hundera
Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia
Geocarto International
agricultural landscape
geospatial
koore
land-use/land-cover
modeling
title Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia
title_full Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia
title_fullStr Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia
title_short Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and its potential drivers in Koore’s agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia
title_sort past and future land use land cover change trends and its potential drivers in koore s agricultural landscape southern ethiopia
topic agricultural landscape
geospatial
koore
land-use/land-cover
modeling
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2229952
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