Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks

The methods of complex networks have been extensively used to characterize information flow in complex systems, such as risk propagation in complex financial networks. However, network dynamics are ignored in most cases despite systems with similar topological structures exhibiting profoundly differ...

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Main Authors: Tingting Chen, Yan Li, Xiongfei Jiang, Lingjie Shao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/2/1129
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author Tingting Chen
Yan Li
Xiongfei Jiang
Lingjie Shao
author_facet Tingting Chen
Yan Li
Xiongfei Jiang
Lingjie Shao
author_sort Tingting Chen
collection DOAJ
description The methods of complex networks have been extensively used to characterize information flow in complex systems, such as risk propagation in complex financial networks. However, network dynamics are ignored in most cases despite systems with similar topological structures exhibiting profoundly different dynamic behaviors. To observe the spatiotemporal patterns of risk propagation in complex financial networks, we combined a dynamic model with empirical networks. Our analysis revealed that hub nodes play a dominant role in risk propagation across the network and respond rapidly, thus exhibiting a degree-driven effect. The influence of key dynamic parameters, i.e., infection rate and recovery rate, was also investigated. Furthermore, the impacts of two typical characteristics of complex financial systems—the existence of community structures and frequent large fluctuations—on the spatiotemporal patterns of risk propagation were explored. About <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>30</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> of the total risk propagation flow of each community can be explained by the top <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>10</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> nodes. Thus, we can control the risk propagation flow of each community by controlling a few influential nodes in the community and, in turn, control the whole network. In extreme market states, hub nodes become more dominant, indicating better risk control.
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spelling doaj.art-a4163bcb02f9420594fd8a60d8551b3c2023-11-30T21:06:37ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172023-01-01132112910.3390/app13021129Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial NetworksTingting Chen0Yan Li1Xiongfei Jiang2Lingjie Shao3Department of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaDepartment of Finance, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaCollege of Finance and Information, Ningbo University of Finance and Economics, Ningbo 315175, ChinaDepartment of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, Hangzhou 310018, ChinaThe methods of complex networks have been extensively used to characterize information flow in complex systems, such as risk propagation in complex financial networks. However, network dynamics are ignored in most cases despite systems with similar topological structures exhibiting profoundly different dynamic behaviors. To observe the spatiotemporal patterns of risk propagation in complex financial networks, we combined a dynamic model with empirical networks. Our analysis revealed that hub nodes play a dominant role in risk propagation across the network and respond rapidly, thus exhibiting a degree-driven effect. The influence of key dynamic parameters, i.e., infection rate and recovery rate, was also investigated. Furthermore, the impacts of two typical characteristics of complex financial systems—the existence of community structures and frequent large fluctuations—on the spatiotemporal patterns of risk propagation were explored. About <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>30</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> of the total risk propagation flow of each community can be explained by the top <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>10</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> nodes. Thus, we can control the risk propagation flow of each community by controlling a few influential nodes in the community and, in turn, control the whole network. In extreme market states, hub nodes become more dominant, indicating better risk control.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/2/1129complex financial systemscomplex financial networkseconophysicsrisk propagationnetwork dynamics
spellingShingle Tingting Chen
Yan Li
Xiongfei Jiang
Lingjie Shao
Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks
Applied Sciences
complex financial systems
complex financial networks
econophysics
risk propagation
network dynamics
title Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks
title_full Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks
title_short Spatiotemporal Patterns of Risk Propagation in Complex Financial Networks
title_sort spatiotemporal patterns of risk propagation in complex financial networks
topic complex financial systems
complex financial networks
econophysics
risk propagation
network dynamics
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/2/1129
work_keys_str_mv AT tingtingchen spatiotemporalpatternsofriskpropagationincomplexfinancialnetworks
AT yanli spatiotemporalpatternsofriskpropagationincomplexfinancialnetworks
AT xiongfeijiang spatiotemporalpatternsofriskpropagationincomplexfinancialnetworks
AT lingjieshao spatiotemporalpatternsofriskpropagationincomplexfinancialnetworks