Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks
In this investigation a set of experiments has been carried out consisting on changing parameters on the configuration of the WRF numerical weather forecast model, and evaluating error figures on the 24 hours power generation forecasts at twenty PV parks for a series of 40 selected d...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Universidad Tecnológica de La Habana, José Antonio Echeverría
2023-09-01
|
| Series: | Revista Científica de Ingeniería Energética |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://rie.cujae.edu.cu/index.php/RIE/article/view/866/923 |
| _version_ | 1827589517675069440 |
|---|---|
| author | Israel Borrajero Montejo Alfredo Roque Rodríguez Juan Carlos Peláez Chávez Miguel Hinojosa Krystine Naranjo Villalón Maibys Sierra Lorenz |
| author_facet | Israel Borrajero Montejo Alfredo Roque Rodríguez Juan Carlos Peláez Chávez Miguel Hinojosa Krystine Naranjo Villalón Maibys Sierra Lorenz |
| author_sort | Israel Borrajero Montejo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In this investigation a set of experiments has been carried out consisting on changing parameters on the configuration of the WRF numerical weather forecast model, and evaluating error figures on the 24 hours power generation forecasts at twenty PV parks for a series of 40 selected days between April and June of 2020. The forecasts have been implemented using the solar radiation output of the SisPI forecast system implemented at the Center of Physics of the Atmosphere from the Institute of Meteorology in Havana, Cuba; which is based on the WRF model. The generation forecast was initiated using the operational configuration of WRF, which is optimized mainly to produce the best precipitation forecasts, particularly convective precipitation. The experiments undertaken in this study, allowed to define a new configuration scheme that improves the solar radiation and, subsequently, the power generation forecasts. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T00:58:33Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a43781ed434d43d28c6f7c328d6a904f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1815-5901 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T00:58:33Z |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | Universidad Tecnológica de La Habana, José Antonio Echeverría |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista Científica de Ingeniería Energética |
| spelling | doaj.art-a43781ed434d43d28c6f7c328d6a904f2023-12-11T16:14:29ZengUniversidad Tecnológica de La Habana, José Antonio EcheverríaRevista Científica de Ingeniería Energética1815-59012023-09-0144317Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks Israel Borrajero Montejo0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8372-6864Alfredo Roque Rodríguez1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6575-4397Juan Carlos Peláez Chávezhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1102-0360Miguel Hinojosa2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3779-3158Krystine Naranjo Villalón3https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9432-955X Maibys Sierra Lorenz4https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4838-1474Cuban Meteorological Society (SometCuba), Havana, Cuba Cuban Meteorological Society (SometCuba), Havana, Cuba Atmospheric Physics Center, Institute of Meteorology, Havana, CubaAtmospheric Physics Center, Institute of Meteorology, Havana, CubaAtmospheric Physics Center, Institute of Meteorology, Havana, CubaIn this investigation a set of experiments has been carried out consisting on changing parameters on the configuration of the WRF numerical weather forecast model, and evaluating error figures on the 24 hours power generation forecasts at twenty PV parks for a series of 40 selected days between April and June of 2020. The forecasts have been implemented using the solar radiation output of the SisPI forecast system implemented at the Center of Physics of the Atmosphere from the Institute of Meteorology in Havana, Cuba; which is based on the WRF model. The generation forecast was initiated using the operational configuration of WRF, which is optimized mainly to produce the best precipitation forecasts, particularly convective precipitation. The experiments undertaken in this study, allowed to define a new configuration scheme that improves the solar radiation and, subsequently, the power generation forecasts. https://rie.cujae.edu.cu/index.php/RIE/article/view/866/923forecast; generation; solar radiation. |
| spellingShingle | Israel Borrajero Montejo Alfredo Roque Rodríguez Juan Carlos Peláez Chávez Miguel Hinojosa Krystine Naranjo Villalón Maibys Sierra Lorenz Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks Revista Científica de Ingeniería Energética forecast; generation; solar radiation. |
| title | Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks |
| title_full | Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks |
| title_fullStr | Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks |
| title_full_unstemmed | Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks |
| title_short | Improvement of a System for Forecasting Power Generation for Photovoltaic Parks |
| title_sort | improvement of a system for forecasting power generation for photovoltaic parks |
| topic | forecast; generation; solar radiation. |
| url | https://rie.cujae.edu.cu/index.php/RIE/article/view/866/923 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT israelborrajeromontejo improvementofasystemforforecastingpowergenerationforphotovoltaicparks AT alfredoroquerodriguez improvementofasystemforforecastingpowergenerationforphotovoltaicparks AT juancarlospelaezchavez improvementofasystemforforecastingpowergenerationforphotovoltaicparks AT miguelhinojosa improvementofasystemforforecastingpowergenerationforphotovoltaicparks AT krystinenaranjovillalon improvementofasystemforforecastingpowergenerationforphotovoltaicparks AT maibyssierralorenz improvementofasystemforforecastingpowergenerationforphotovoltaicparks |