EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS

This research estimates the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices by applying an extension of the basic model of ERPT on Indonesia. It estimates models of cointegration and error-correction mechanism (ECM), with and without structural breaks. It uses the techniques of Zivot-Andrews an...

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Main Author: Arintoko Arintoko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Islam Indonesia 2011-09-01
Series:Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Online Access:https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/2320
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author Arintoko Arintoko
author_facet Arintoko Arintoko
author_sort Arintoko Arintoko
collection DOAJ
description This research estimates the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices by applying an extension of the basic model of ERPT on Indonesia. It estimates models of cointegration and error-correction mechanism (ECM), with and without structural breaks. It uses the techniques of Zivot-Andrews and of Gregory-Hansen to test for structural breaks and cointegration with the structural breaks, respectively. The results show that with the control variables, inflation affects import prices and lower the pass-through for short term, in a condition of free floating exchange rate. In the short term, with the inclusion of structural breaks, significant inflation affects import prices and lowers the ERPT coefficient.  Keywords:    Exchange rate pass-through, inflation, structural breaks, cointegration, error-correction mechanism JEL classification numbers: C22, C32, E31, F41
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spelling doaj.art-a4509caac4fb43098e5d53446db498b92022-12-22T03:03:59ZengUniversitas Islam IndonesiaEconomic Journal of Emerging Markets2086-31282502-180X2011-09-013110.20885/ejem.v3i1.2320EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKSArintoko ArintokoThis research estimates the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into import prices by applying an extension of the basic model of ERPT on Indonesia. It estimates models of cointegration and error-correction mechanism (ECM), with and without structural breaks. It uses the techniques of Zivot-Andrews and of Gregory-Hansen to test for structural breaks and cointegration with the structural breaks, respectively. The results show that with the control variables, inflation affects import prices and lower the pass-through for short term, in a condition of free floating exchange rate. In the short term, with the inclusion of structural breaks, significant inflation affects import prices and lowers the ERPT coefficient.  Keywords:    Exchange rate pass-through, inflation, structural breaks, cointegration, error-correction mechanism JEL classification numbers: C22, C32, E31, F41 https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/2320
spellingShingle Arintoko Arintoko
EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
title EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS
title_full EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS
title_fullStr EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS
title_full_unstemmed EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS
title_short EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH, IMPORT PRICES AND INFLATION UNDER STRUCTURAL BREAKS
title_sort exchange rate pass through import prices and inflation under structural breaks
url https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/2320
work_keys_str_mv AT arintokoarintoko exchangeratepassthroughimportpricesandinflationunderstructuralbreaks