Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique

Crop growth and development is a dynamic and complex process, and the essence of yield formation is the continuous accumulation of photosynthetic products from multiple fertility stages. In this study, a new stacking method for integrating multiple growth stages information was proposed to improve t...

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Main Authors: Changchun Li, Yilin Wang, Chunyan Ma, Weinan Chen, Yacong Li, Jingbo Li, Fan Ding, Zhen Xiao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/24/12164
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author Changchun Li
Yilin Wang
Chunyan Ma
Weinan Chen
Yacong Li
Jingbo Li
Fan Ding
Zhen Xiao
author_facet Changchun Li
Yilin Wang
Chunyan Ma
Weinan Chen
Yacong Li
Jingbo Li
Fan Ding
Zhen Xiao
author_sort Changchun Li
collection DOAJ
description Crop growth and development is a dynamic and complex process, and the essence of yield formation is the continuous accumulation of photosynthetic products from multiple fertility stages. In this study, a new stacking method for integrating multiple growth stages information was proposed to improve the performance of the winter wheat grain yield (GY) prediction model. For this purpose, crop canopy hyperspectral reflectance and leaf area index (LAI) data were obtained at the jointing, flagging, anthesis and grain filling stages. In this case, 15 vegetation indices and LAI were used as input features of the elastic network to construct GY prediction models for single growth stage. Based on Stacking technique, the GY prediction results of four single growth stages were integrated to construct the ensemble learning framework. The results showed that vegetation indices coupled LAI could effectively overcome the spectral saturation phenomenon, the validated R<sup>2</sup> of each growth stage was improved by 10%, 22.5%, 3.6% and 10%, respectively. The stacking method provided more stable information with higher prediction accuracy than the individual fertility results (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.74), and the R<sup>2</sup> of the model validation phase improved by 236%, 51%, 27.6%, and 12.1%, respectively. The study can provide a reference for GY prediction of other crops.
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spelling doaj.art-a4599c8df766435e976c05405235995d2023-11-23T03:44:10ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172021-12-0111241216410.3390/app112412164Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking TechniqueChangchun Li0Yilin Wang1Chunyan Ma2Weinan Chen3Yacong Li4Jingbo Li5Fan Ding6Zhen Xiao7School of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaSchool of Surveying and Land Information Engineering, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454099, ChinaCrop growth and development is a dynamic and complex process, and the essence of yield formation is the continuous accumulation of photosynthetic products from multiple fertility stages. In this study, a new stacking method for integrating multiple growth stages information was proposed to improve the performance of the winter wheat grain yield (GY) prediction model. For this purpose, crop canopy hyperspectral reflectance and leaf area index (LAI) data were obtained at the jointing, flagging, anthesis and grain filling stages. In this case, 15 vegetation indices and LAI were used as input features of the elastic network to construct GY prediction models for single growth stage. Based on Stacking technique, the GY prediction results of four single growth stages were integrated to construct the ensemble learning framework. The results showed that vegetation indices coupled LAI could effectively overcome the spectral saturation phenomenon, the validated R<sup>2</sup> of each growth stage was improved by 10%, 22.5%, 3.6% and 10%, respectively. The stacking method provided more stable information with higher prediction accuracy than the individual fertility results (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.74), and the R<sup>2</sup> of the model validation phase improved by 236%, 51%, 27.6%, and 12.1%, respectively. The study can provide a reference for GY prediction of other crops.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/24/12164grain yieldhyperspectral vegetation indexleaf area indexelastic networkstacking technology
spellingShingle Changchun Li
Yilin Wang
Chunyan Ma
Weinan Chen
Yacong Li
Jingbo Li
Fan Ding
Zhen Xiao
Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique
Applied Sciences
grain yield
hyperspectral vegetation index
leaf area index
elastic network
stacking technology
title Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique
title_full Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique
title_fullStr Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique
title_full_unstemmed Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique
title_short Improvement of Wheat Grain Yield Prediction Model Performance Based on Stacking Technique
title_sort improvement of wheat grain yield prediction model performance based on stacking technique
topic grain yield
hyperspectral vegetation index
leaf area index
elastic network
stacking technology
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/24/12164
work_keys_str_mv AT changchunli improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT yilinwang improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT chunyanma improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT weinanchen improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT yacongli improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT jingboli improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT fanding improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique
AT zhenxiao improvementofwheatgrainyieldpredictionmodelperformancebasedonstackingtechnique