Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis

This study uses experiments and surveys from 146 participants who participated in equity trading to explore the predictive power of the Big-five personality traits, social behaviours, along with self-attribution and demographic characteristics on trading performance. Interestingly, we found that inv...

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Main Authors: Huan Huu Nguyen, Vu Minh Ngo, Thao Thi Phuong Le, Phuc Van Nguyen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-04-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
E22
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023024805
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author Huan Huu Nguyen
Vu Minh Ngo
Thao Thi Phuong Le
Phuc Van Nguyen
author_facet Huan Huu Nguyen
Vu Minh Ngo
Thao Thi Phuong Le
Phuc Van Nguyen
author_sort Huan Huu Nguyen
collection DOAJ
description This study uses experiments and surveys from 146 participants who participated in equity trading to explore the predictive power of the Big-five personality traits, social behaviours, along with self-attribution and demographic characteristics on trading performance. Interestingly, we found that investors who are more open and neurotic gain higher returns compared to the market benchmark. We also found that other social traits are associated with the effectiveness of stock trading, such as awareness of social and ethical virtues (fairness and politeness). Moreover, instead of using separate characteristics, this study employs machine learning to cluster these personal features to understand the interconnection between socioeconomic determinants and financial decisions. This study contributes new evidence to the existing literature that personalities could explain trading performance.
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spelling doaj.art-a49d6abb50f148db8eaaa29fd930f9042023-04-29T14:56:01ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-04-0194e15273Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysisHuan Huu Nguyen0Vu Minh Ngo1Thao Thi Phuong Le2Phuc Van Nguyen3University of Economic Ho Chi Minh City, School of Banking, Address: 59C Nguyen Dinh Chieu Street, Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet NamUniversity of Economic Ho Chi Minh City, School of Banking, Address: 59C Nguyen Dinh Chieu Street, Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam; Corresponding author.University of Economic Ho Chi Minh City, School of Banking, Address: 59C Nguyen Dinh Chieu Street, Ward 6, District 3, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet NamUniversity of Banking Ho Chi Minh City (HUB), 36 Ton That Dam Street, Nguyen Thai Binh Ward, District 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet NamThis study uses experiments and surveys from 146 participants who participated in equity trading to explore the predictive power of the Big-five personality traits, social behaviours, along with self-attribution and demographic characteristics on trading performance. Interestingly, we found that investors who are more open and neurotic gain higher returns compared to the market benchmark. We also found that other social traits are associated with the effectiveness of stock trading, such as awareness of social and ethical virtues (fairness and politeness). Moreover, instead of using separate characteristics, this study employs machine learning to cluster these personal features to understand the interconnection between socioeconomic determinants and financial decisions. This study contributes new evidence to the existing literature that personalities could explain trading performance.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023024805E22
spellingShingle Huan Huu Nguyen
Vu Minh Ngo
Thao Thi Phuong Le
Phuc Van Nguyen
Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis
Heliyon
E22
title Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis
title_full Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis
title_fullStr Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis
title_full_unstemmed Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis
title_short Do investors’ personalities predict market winners? Experimental setting and machine learning analysis
title_sort do investors personalities predict market winners experimental setting and machine learning analysis
topic E22
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023024805
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AT thaothiphuongle doinvestorspersonalitiespredictmarketwinnersexperimentalsettingandmachinelearninganalysis
AT phucvannguyen doinvestorspersonalitiespredictmarketwinnersexperimentalsettingandmachinelearninganalysis