A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties

As crucial rotary components of high-speed trains, wheel treads in realistic operation environment usually suffer severe cyclic shocks, which damage the health status and ultimately cause safety risks. Timely and precise health prognosis based on vibration signals is an effective technology to mitig...

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Main Authors: Guifa Huang, Yu Zhao, Han Wang, Xiaobing Ma, Deyao Tang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/2/467
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author Guifa Huang
Yu Zhao
Han Wang
Xiaobing Ma
Deyao Tang
author_facet Guifa Huang
Yu Zhao
Han Wang
Xiaobing Ma
Deyao Tang
author_sort Guifa Huang
collection DOAJ
description As crucial rotary components of high-speed trains, wheel treads in realistic operation environment usually suffer severe cyclic shocks, which damage the health status and ultimately cause safety risks. Timely and precise health prognosis based on vibration signals is an effective technology to mitigate such risks. In this work, a new parameter-related Wiener process model is proposed to capture multiple uncertainties existed in on-site prognosis of wheel treads. The proposed model establishes a quantitative relationship between degradation rate and variations, and integrates uncertainties via heterogeneity analysis of both criterions. A maximum-likelihood-based method is presented to initialize the unknown model parameters, followed by a recursive update algorithm with fully utilization of historical lifetime information. An investigation of real-world wheel tread signals demonstrates the superiority of the proposed model in accuracy improvement.
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spelling doaj.art-a55731a1f1de4d2b8a99d4940c4579522022-12-21T16:35:01ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-01-0110246710.3390/app10020467app10020467A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple UncertaintiesGuifa Huang0Yu Zhao1Han Wang2Xiaobing Ma3Deyao Tang4School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaBeijing Tangzhi Science and Technology Development Co., Ltd., Beijing 100043, ChinaAs crucial rotary components of high-speed trains, wheel treads in realistic operation environment usually suffer severe cyclic shocks, which damage the health status and ultimately cause safety risks. Timely and precise health prognosis based on vibration signals is an effective technology to mitigate such risks. In this work, a new parameter-related Wiener process model is proposed to capture multiple uncertainties existed in on-site prognosis of wheel treads. The proposed model establishes a quantitative relationship between degradation rate and variations, and integrates uncertainties via heterogeneity analysis of both criterions. A maximum-likelihood-based method is presented to initialize the unknown model parameters, followed by a recursive update algorithm with fully utilization of historical lifetime information. An investigation of real-world wheel tread signals demonstrates the superiority of the proposed model in accuracy improvement.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/2/467condition monitoringremaining useful lifewiener process modelrecursive algorithmmultiple uncertaintywheel tread
spellingShingle Guifa Huang
Yu Zhao
Han Wang
Xiaobing Ma
Deyao Tang
A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties
Applied Sciences
condition monitoring
remaining useful life
wiener process model
recursive algorithm
multiple uncertainty
wheel tread
title A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties
title_full A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties
title_fullStr A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties
title_short A Prognostic Framework for Wheel Treads Integrating Parameter Correlation and Multiple Uncertainties
title_sort prognostic framework for wheel treads integrating parameter correlation and multiple uncertainties
topic condition monitoring
remaining useful life
wiener process model
recursive algorithm
multiple uncertainty
wheel tread
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/2/467
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