Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic

It has been a year since the outbreak of the coronavirus epidemic 2019 (COVID-19). In the face of the global epidemic, governments in all countries have taken different prevention measures, such as social isolation, mandatory health protection, and the closure of schools and workplaces. The situatio...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xianghui Wang, Chang Chen, Yan Du, Yang Zhang, Chengliang Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-01-01
Series:Healthcare
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/9/2/116
_version_ 1797408593216012288
author Xianghui Wang
Chang Chen
Yan Du
Yang Zhang
Chengliang Wu
author_facet Xianghui Wang
Chang Chen
Yan Du
Yang Zhang
Chengliang Wu
author_sort Xianghui Wang
collection DOAJ
description It has been a year since the outbreak of the coronavirus epidemic 2019 (COVID-19). In the face of the global epidemic, governments in all countries have taken different prevention measures, such as social isolation, mandatory health protection, and the closure of schools and workplaces. The situation of the epidemic has clearly varied from country to country. In this context, research on the impact of policies for the control of the spread of the global epidemic is of great significance. In this paper, we examined data from a sample of 212 countries between 31 December 2019, and 21 May 2020, using multi-fuzzy regression discontinuity. We found that developed countries had relatively low sensitivity to the policy stringency index; however, policy control measures had a significant effect on epidemic control. In addition, the trend analysis showed that the corresponding management and control came into play only after the policy stringency index reached 50 or the policy management reached level II, and the robustness was optimal at this time. Therefore, the governments in all countries should realize that epidemic prevention and control are of great importance. They can strengthen policy stringency to control the spread of the epidemic, considering their national conditions in terms of the economy and health system.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T04:01:43Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a57ff816b1e44e5d857cea6f20cc8b20
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2227-9032
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T04:01:43Z
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Healthcare
spelling doaj.art-a57ff816b1e44e5d857cea6f20cc8b202023-12-03T14:13:17ZengMDPI AGHealthcare2227-90322021-01-019211610.3390/healthcare9020116Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus EpidemicXianghui Wang0Chang Chen1Yan Du2Yang Zhang3Chengliang Wu4School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaIt has been a year since the outbreak of the coronavirus epidemic 2019 (COVID-19). In the face of the global epidemic, governments in all countries have taken different prevention measures, such as social isolation, mandatory health protection, and the closure of schools and workplaces. The situation of the epidemic has clearly varied from country to country. In this context, research on the impact of policies for the control of the spread of the global epidemic is of great significance. In this paper, we examined data from a sample of 212 countries between 31 December 2019, and 21 May 2020, using multi-fuzzy regression discontinuity. We found that developed countries had relatively low sensitivity to the policy stringency index; however, policy control measures had a significant effect on epidemic control. In addition, the trend analysis showed that the corresponding management and control came into play only after the policy stringency index reached 50 or the policy management reached level II, and the robustness was optimal at this time. Therefore, the governments in all countries should realize that epidemic prevention and control are of great importance. They can strengthen policy stringency to control the spread of the epidemic, considering their national conditions in terms of the economy and health system.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/9/2/116coronavirus (COVID-19)policy stringencyregression discontinuity
spellingShingle Xianghui Wang
Chang Chen
Yan Du
Yang Zhang
Chengliang Wu
Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic
Healthcare
coronavirus (COVID-19)
policy stringency
regression discontinuity
title Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic
title_full Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic
title_fullStr Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic
title_short Analysis of Policies Based on the Multi-Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity, in Terms of the Number of Deaths in the Coronavirus Epidemic
title_sort analysis of policies based on the multi fuzzy regression discontinuity in terms of the number of deaths in the coronavirus epidemic
topic coronavirus (COVID-19)
policy stringency
regression discontinuity
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/9/2/116
work_keys_str_mv AT xianghuiwang analysisofpoliciesbasedonthemultifuzzyregressiondiscontinuityintermsofthenumberofdeathsinthecoronavirusepidemic
AT changchen analysisofpoliciesbasedonthemultifuzzyregressiondiscontinuityintermsofthenumberofdeathsinthecoronavirusepidemic
AT yandu analysisofpoliciesbasedonthemultifuzzyregressiondiscontinuityintermsofthenumberofdeathsinthecoronavirusepidemic
AT yangzhang analysisofpoliciesbasedonthemultifuzzyregressiondiscontinuityintermsofthenumberofdeathsinthecoronavirusepidemic
AT chengliangwu analysisofpoliciesbasedonthemultifuzzyregressiondiscontinuityintermsofthenumberofdeathsinthecoronavirusepidemic