The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters

In 2018, a referendum to revise the Constitution took place in Romania. Just one article was in contention for revision. The goal was to make gay marriage unconstitutional. In the end, the referendum failed due to a low turnout of just 21.1%, below the 30% threshold required for validation. This pap...

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Main Author: Iulian Stănescu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Expert Projects 2020-11-01
Series:Sociologie Românească
Subjects:
Online Access:http://revistasociologieromaneasca.ro/sr/article/view/1689
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author Iulian Stănescu
author_facet Iulian Stănescu
author_sort Iulian Stănescu
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description In 2018, a referendum to revise the Constitution took place in Romania. Just one article was in contention for revision. The goal was to make gay marriage unconstitutional. In the end, the referendum failed due to a low turnout of just 21.1%, below the 30% threshold required for validation. This paper looks into the causes of the low turnout. First, there is an overview of knowns and unknowns, such as lack of exit poll data and issues with the voting population numbers. The bulk of the paper deals with two overlapping narratives about the causes of low turnout - first, a boycott campaign and second, a combination of factors, especially low mobilisation. Using precinct level results, supplemented by pre and post referendum polling data, an examination of evidence for both narratives is put forward. The results provide a case for failure of mobilisation by main political parties and religious organisations, especially the Orthodox Church, despite public statements of support for a “Yes” vote in the referendum. In turn, this was based on a buck-passing strategy by political parties and religious organisations.
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spelling doaj.art-a581c5f466624e0393c705216d28946c2022-12-21T19:01:28ZengExpert ProjectsSociologie Românească1220-53892668-14552020-11-0118210.33788/sr.18.2.3The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise votersIulian Stănescu0Research Institute for Quality of Life, Romanian AcademyIn 2018, a referendum to revise the Constitution took place in Romania. Just one article was in contention for revision. The goal was to make gay marriage unconstitutional. In the end, the referendum failed due to a low turnout of just 21.1%, below the 30% threshold required for validation. This paper looks into the causes of the low turnout. First, there is an overview of knowns and unknowns, such as lack of exit poll data and issues with the voting population numbers. The bulk of the paper deals with two overlapping narratives about the causes of low turnout - first, a boycott campaign and second, a combination of factors, especially low mobilisation. Using precinct level results, supplemented by pre and post referendum polling data, an examination of evidence for both narratives is put forward. The results provide a case for failure of mobilisation by main political parties and religious organisations, especially the Orthodox Church, despite public statements of support for a “Yes” vote in the referendum. In turn, this was based on a buck-passing strategy by political parties and religious organisations.http://revistasociologieromaneasca.ro/sr/article/view/1689Romaniareligionsame sex marriagegay marriagereferendumpolitical parties
spellingShingle Iulian Stănescu
The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters
Sociologie Românească
Romania
religion
same sex marriage
gay marriage
referendum
political parties
title The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters
title_full The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters
title_fullStr The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters
title_full_unstemmed The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters
title_short The curious story of the 2018 Romanian traditional family referendum: buck-passing and the failure to mobilise voters
title_sort curious story of the 2018 romanian traditional family referendum buck passing and the failure to mobilise voters
topic Romania
religion
same sex marriage
gay marriage
referendum
political parties
url http://revistasociologieromaneasca.ro/sr/article/view/1689
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