The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic

This study aims to analyze the factors that determine voting behavior in the rustbelt states during the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The rustbelt states are traditionally considered “swing states” and play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the presidential election. The study employs...

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Main Author: Shianghau Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/12/6/212
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author Shianghau Wu
author_facet Shianghau Wu
author_sort Shianghau Wu
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to analyze the factors that determine voting behavior in the rustbelt states during the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The rustbelt states are traditionally considered “swing states” and play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the presidential election. The study employs a spatial econometrics model that considers COVID-19-related factors, such as the percentage of people wearing masks and the number of COVID-19 deaths in each county of the rustbelt states. Firstly, the study identifies the most suitable spatial econometrics model. Secondly, the study shows that COVID-19 pandemic-related independent variables had a significant positive impact on the Republican Party’s results in the U.S. presidential election while mask-wearing behavior had a significant negative impact. These results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced voting behavior and altered the political landscape, but it does not have geographical effects.
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spelling doaj.art-a5f5e6b2bbdf4415a89c6978c262619a2023-11-18T10:43:28ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642023-05-0112621210.3390/ijgi12060212The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 PandemicShianghau Wu0Department of International Business, Chung Yuan Christian University, No. 200 Zhongbei Rd., Zhongli District, Taoyuan City 320314, TaiwanThis study aims to analyze the factors that determine voting behavior in the rustbelt states during the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The rustbelt states are traditionally considered “swing states” and play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the presidential election. The study employs a spatial econometrics model that considers COVID-19-related factors, such as the percentage of people wearing masks and the number of COVID-19 deaths in each county of the rustbelt states. Firstly, the study identifies the most suitable spatial econometrics model. Secondly, the study shows that COVID-19 pandemic-related independent variables had a significant positive impact on the Republican Party’s results in the U.S. presidential election while mask-wearing behavior had a significant negative impact. These results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced voting behavior and altered the political landscape, but it does not have geographical effects.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/12/6/212rustbelt statesspatial econometricsSpatial Durbin ModelCOVID-19
spellingShingle Shianghau Wu
The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
rustbelt states
spatial econometrics
Spatial Durbin Model
COVID-19
title The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_fullStr The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_full_unstemmed The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_short The Spatial Data Analysis of Determinants of U.S. Presidential Voting Results in the Rustbelt States during the COVID-19 Pandemic
title_sort spatial data analysis of determinants of u s presidential voting results in the rustbelt states during the covid 19 pandemic
topic rustbelt states
spatial econometrics
Spatial Durbin Model
COVID-19
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/12/6/212
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