Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach

2D Free-surface hydraulic modeling tools are commonly used to assess flood hazard for production of maximal water depth (hmax) maps, as support for flood risk assessment. High Resolution (HR) topographic data are big data getting commonly available and used by hydraulic...

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Main Authors: Abily Morgan, Delestre Olivier, Amossé Laura, Bertrand Nathalie, Richet Yann, Duluc Claire-Marie, Gourbesville Philippe, Navaro Pierre
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2015-01-01
Series:ESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/proc/201448018
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author Abily Morgan
Delestre Olivier
Amossé Laura
Bertrand Nathalie
Richet Yann
Duluc Claire-Marie
Gourbesville Philippe
Navaro Pierre
author_facet Abily Morgan
Delestre Olivier
Amossé Laura
Bertrand Nathalie
Richet Yann
Duluc Claire-Marie
Gourbesville Philippe
Navaro Pierre
author_sort Abily Morgan
collection DOAJ
description 2D Free-surface hydraulic modeling tools are commonly used to assess flood hazard for production of maximal water depth (hmax) maps, as support for flood risk assessment. High Resolution (HR) topographic data are big data getting commonly available and used by hydraulic modeling community. Topographical information and its strategy of inclusion in models, are inputs of great importance for overland flow hmax calculation. To strengthen the assessment of confidence level in these deterministic hydraulic models outputs, uncertainty analysis (UA) and global sensitivity analysis (SA) can provide useful information that is required by practitioners and decision makers. UA and SA approaches allow to identify effective strategies to reduce the uncertainty of a model output. In this paper, developed approach consists in parameterizing three factors which introduce uncertainty related to HR topographic data use with hydraulic models: the measurement error (var. E), the level of details of above ground element representation in DEM (buildings, sidewalks, etc.) (var. S), and the spatial discretization resolution (grid cell size of a regular mesh) (var. R). Parameter var. E follows a probability density function whereas parameter var. S and var. R are discrete operator choices. The coupling of an environment for parametric computation (Prométhée) and a code relying on 2D shallow water equation (FullSWOF2D), Promethée-FullSWOF2D (P-FS) tool has been set up. P-FS tool allows launching directly numerous set of computation using R software. 1200 simulations of a river flood event scenario were performed on the regular computational mesh, spatially discretizing a 17.5 km2 urban area (Nice, France). The aim is to produce UA over points of interests and SA through Sobol index maps production.
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spelling doaj.art-a6179324a06845efb5cb97bfa7f542be2023-01-02T17:38:07ZengEDP SciencesESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys2267-30592015-01-014838539910.1051/proc/201448018proc144818Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approachAbily Morgan0Delestre Olivier1Amossé Laura2Bertrand Nathalie3Richet Yann4Duluc Claire-Marie5Gourbesville Philippe6Navaro Pierre7Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire & Lab. I-CiTy URE 005, EPU Nice Sophia, University of NiceLab. J.A. Dieudonné UMR 7351 CNRS & EPU Nice Sophia, University of NiceEPU Nice Sophia, University of NiceInstitut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté NucléaireInstitut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté NucléaireInstitut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté NucléaireLab. I-CiTy URE 005, EPU Nice Sophia, University of NiceIRMA, UMR 7501 CNRS, Unistra2D Free-surface hydraulic modeling tools are commonly used to assess flood hazard for production of maximal water depth (hmax) maps, as support for flood risk assessment. High Resolution (HR) topographic data are big data getting commonly available and used by hydraulic modeling community. Topographical information and its strategy of inclusion in models, are inputs of great importance for overland flow hmax calculation. To strengthen the assessment of confidence level in these deterministic hydraulic models outputs, uncertainty analysis (UA) and global sensitivity analysis (SA) can provide useful information that is required by practitioners and decision makers. UA and SA approaches allow to identify effective strategies to reduce the uncertainty of a model output. In this paper, developed approach consists in parameterizing three factors which introduce uncertainty related to HR topographic data use with hydraulic models: the measurement error (var. E), the level of details of above ground element representation in DEM (buildings, sidewalks, etc.) (var. S), and the spatial discretization resolution (grid cell size of a regular mesh) (var. R). Parameter var. E follows a probability density function whereas parameter var. S and var. R are discrete operator choices. The coupling of an environment for parametric computation (Prométhée) and a code relying on 2D shallow water equation (FullSWOF2D), Promethée-FullSWOF2D (P-FS) tool has been set up. P-FS tool allows launching directly numerous set of computation using R software. 1200 simulations of a river flood event scenario were performed on the regular computational mesh, spatially discretizing a 17.5 km2 urban area (Nice, France). The aim is to produce UA over points of interests and SA through Sobol index maps production.http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/proc/201448018
spellingShingle Abily Morgan
Delestre Olivier
Amossé Laura
Bertrand Nathalie
Richet Yann
Duluc Claire-Marie
Gourbesville Philippe
Navaro Pierre
Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach
ESAIM: Proceedings and Surveys
title Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach
title_full Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach
title_fullStr Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach
title_full_unstemmed Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach
title_short Uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas: toward a sensitivity analysis approach
title_sort uncertainty related to high resolution topographic data use for flood event modeling over urban areas toward a sensitivity analysis approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/proc/201448018
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