City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting

The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initia...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tansaule Serikov, Аinur Zhetpisbayeva, Ainur Аkhmediyarova, Sharafat Mirzakulova, Aigerim Kismanova, Aray Tolegenova, Waldemar Wójcik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Academy of Sciences 2021-09-01
Series:International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdf
Description
Summary:The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initial series to the class of stationary or nonstationary series. Both tests confirmed the involvement of the original series in the class of differential stationary. Based on the Dickie Fuller test and Private autocorrelation function graphs, the Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model model is created. The results of forecasting network traffic showed the adequacy of the selected model.
ISSN:2081-8491
2300-1933