City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initia...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Polish Academy of Sciences
2021-09-01
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Series: | International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdf |
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author | Tansaule Serikov Аinur Zhetpisbayeva Ainur Аkhmediyarova Sharafat Mirzakulova Aigerim Kismanova Aray Tolegenova Waldemar Wójcik |
author_facet | Tansaule Serikov Аinur Zhetpisbayeva Ainur Аkhmediyarova Sharafat Mirzakulova Aigerim Kismanova Aray Tolegenova Waldemar Wójcik |
author_sort | Tansaule Serikov |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initial series to the class of stationary or nonstationary series. Both tests confirmed the involvement of the original series in the class of differential stationary. Based on the Dickie Fuller test and Private autocorrelation function graphs, the Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model model is created. The results of forecasting network traffic showed the adequacy of the selected model. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-11T22:12:50Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-a62d84eee6124428844a240b89c0b8d0 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2081-8491 2300-1933 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-11T22:12:50Z |
publishDate | 2021-09-01 |
publisher | Polish Academy of Sciences |
record_format | Article |
series | International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications |
spelling | doaj.art-a62d84eee6124428844a240b89c0b8d02022-12-22T04:00:31ZengPolish Academy of SciencesInternational Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications2081-84912300-19332021-09-01vol. 67No 3319324https://doi.org/10.24425/ijet.2021.135983City Backbone Network Traffic ForecastingTansaule Serikov0Аinur Zhetpisbayeva1Ainur Аkhmediyarova2Sharafat Mirzakulova3Aigerim Kismanova4Aray Tolegenova5Waldemar Wójcik6S.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanS.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanInstitute of Information and Computational Technologies, Almaty, KazakhstanTuran University, Almaty, KazakhstanS.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanS.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanLublin University of Technology, PolandThe work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initial series to the class of stationary or nonstationary series. Both tests confirmed the involvement of the original series in the class of differential stationary. Based on the Dickie Fuller test and Private autocorrelation function graphs, the Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model model is created. The results of forecasting network traffic showed the adequacy of the selected model.https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdftime seriespacket intensitydickie fuller testkwiatkowski-phillips perron-shin-schmitt test wereforecastingintegrated moving average autoregression model |
spellingShingle | Tansaule Serikov Аinur Zhetpisbayeva Ainur Аkhmediyarova Sharafat Mirzakulova Aigerim Kismanova Aray Tolegenova Waldemar Wójcik City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications time series packet intensity dickie fuller test kwiatkowski-phillips perron-shin-schmitt test were forecasting integrated moving average autoregression model |
title | City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting |
title_full | City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting |
title_fullStr | City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting |
title_full_unstemmed | City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting |
title_short | City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting |
title_sort | city backbone network traffic forecasting |
topic | time series packet intensity dickie fuller test kwiatkowski-phillips perron-shin-schmitt test were forecasting integrated moving average autoregression model |
url | https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT tansauleserikov citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting AT ainurzhetpisbayeva citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting AT ainurakhmediyarova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting AT sharafatmirzakulova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting AT aigerimkismanova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting AT araytolegenova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting AT waldemarwojcik citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting |