City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting

The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initia...

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Main Authors: Tansaule Serikov, Аinur Zhetpisbayeva, Ainur Аkhmediyarova, Sharafat Mirzakulova, Aigerim Kismanova, Aray Tolegenova, Waldemar Wójcik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Academy of Sciences 2021-09-01
Series:International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdf
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author Tansaule Serikov
Аinur Zhetpisbayeva
Ainur Аkhmediyarova
Sharafat Mirzakulova
Aigerim Kismanova
Aray Tolegenova
Waldemar Wójcik
author_facet Tansaule Serikov
Аinur Zhetpisbayeva
Ainur Аkhmediyarova
Sharafat Mirzakulova
Aigerim Kismanova
Aray Tolegenova
Waldemar Wójcik
author_sort Tansaule Serikov
collection DOAJ
description The work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initial series to the class of stationary or nonstationary series. Both tests confirmed the involvement of the original series in the class of differential stationary. Based on the Dickie Fuller test and Private autocorrelation function graphs, the Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model model is created. The results of forecasting network traffic showed the adequacy of the selected model.
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2300-1933
language English
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publishDate 2021-09-01
publisher Polish Academy of Sciences
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series International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications
spelling doaj.art-a62d84eee6124428844a240b89c0b8d02022-12-22T04:00:31ZengPolish Academy of SciencesInternational Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications2081-84912300-19332021-09-01vol. 67No 3319324https://doi.org/10.24425/ijet.2021.135983City Backbone Network Traffic ForecastingTansaule Serikov0Аinur Zhetpisbayeva1Ainur Аkhmediyarova2Sharafat Mirzakulova3Aigerim Kismanova4Aray Tolegenova5Waldemar Wójcik6S.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanS.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanInstitute of Information and Computational Technologies, Almaty, KazakhstanTuran University, Almaty, KazakhstanS.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanS.Seifullin Kazakh AgroTechnical University, Nur-Sultan, KazakhstanLublin University of Technology, PolandThe work considers a one-dimensional time series protocol packet intensity, measured on the city backbone network. The intensity of the series is uneven. Scattering diagrams are constructed. The Dickie Fuller test and Kwiatkowski-Phillips Perron-Shin-Schmitt test were applied to determine the initial series to the class of stationary or nonstationary series. Both tests confirmed the involvement of the original series in the class of differential stationary. Based on the Dickie Fuller test and Private autocorrelation function graphs, the Integrated Moving Average Autoregression Model model is created. The results of forecasting network traffic showed the adequacy of the selected model.https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdftime seriespacket intensitydickie fuller testkwiatkowski-phillips perron-shin-schmitt test wereforecastingintegrated moving average autoregression model
spellingShingle Tansaule Serikov
Аinur Zhetpisbayeva
Ainur Аkhmediyarova
Sharafat Mirzakulova
Aigerim Kismanova
Aray Tolegenova
Waldemar Wójcik
City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
International Journal of Electronics and Telecommunications
time series
packet intensity
dickie fuller test
kwiatkowski-phillips perron-shin-schmitt test were
forecasting
integrated moving average autoregression model
title City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
title_full City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
title_fullStr City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
title_short City Backbone Network Traffic Forecasting
title_sort city backbone network traffic forecasting
topic time series
packet intensity
dickie fuller test
kwiatkowski-phillips perron-shin-schmitt test were
forecasting
integrated moving average autoregression model
url https://journals.pan.pl/Content/118904/PDF/46_3434_Serikov_skl.pdf
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AT ainurzhetpisbayeva citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting
AT ainurakhmediyarova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting
AT sharafatmirzakulova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting
AT aigerimkismanova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting
AT araytolegenova citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting
AT waldemarwojcik citybackbonenetworktrafficforecasting