NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE
ABSTRACT In this work, the prediction of the distribution of M. urundeuva Fr. All. was performed based on the region of natural occurrence of the species. Its geographic coordinates were obtained from online databases CRIA and SpecialLinks, from scientific articles and fieldwork carried out by Unive...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Sociedade de Investigações Florestais
2022-02-01
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| Series: | Revista Árvore |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-67622022000100209&tlng=en |
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| author | Lorena Frigini Moro Capo Mario Luiz Teixeira de Moraes Daniele Fernanda Zulian Marcos Silveira Wrege Renan Marcelo Portela José Cambuim Alexandre Marques Da Silva Márcia Toffani Simão Soares Valderês Aparecida de Sousa Ananda Virginia de Aguiar |
| author_facet | Lorena Frigini Moro Capo Mario Luiz Teixeira de Moraes Daniele Fernanda Zulian Marcos Silveira Wrege Renan Marcelo Portela José Cambuim Alexandre Marques Da Silva Márcia Toffani Simão Soares Valderês Aparecida de Sousa Ananda Virginia de Aguiar |
| author_sort | Lorena Frigini Moro Capo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | ABSTRACT In this work, the prediction of the distribution of M. urundeuva Fr. All. was performed based on the region of natural occurrence of the species. Its geographic coordinates were obtained from online databases CRIA and SpecialLinks, from scientific articles and fieldwork carried out by Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) in Ilha Solteira, São Paulo, Brazil. M. urundeuva is a native tree species with great potential for commercial use in Brazil. For this purpose, ecological niche modeling was used, with current layers of climate variables and layers prepared for future climate scenarios, according to the 4th Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (AR4/IPCC), using Worldclim data on Brazil. With the Open Modeller and ArcGIS programs, maps were generated to predict its occurrence for the current period and future climate scenarios, made according to the projections of global climate changes. With the projection of increases in temperature and precipitation in the area where the species occurs, it tends to migrate to areas of Brazil where the climate is currently milder, in the south and southeast regions. Due to climatic changes, the species tends to undergo changes in distribution and area size until 2080. It was projected for Caatinga and Pantanal, in both periods, an increase in area, while for the Cerrado, in the first period, the area increased, and, for the second, it decreased. Therefore, according to the results of the maps of future projections for the next decades, it is concluded that there will be changes in the distribution of M. urundeuva, with a significant reduction of the potential area of occurrence in the region. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-19T12:34:25Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a630017057b94248ac2702f4d4223340 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1806-9088 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-19T12:34:25Z |
| publishDate | 2022-02-01 |
| publisher | Sociedade de Investigações Florestais |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista Árvore |
| spelling | doaj.art-a630017057b94248ac2702f4d42233402022-12-21T20:21:11ZengSociedade de Investigações FlorestaisRevista Árvore1806-90882022-02-014610.1590/1806-908820220000009NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGELorena Frigini Moro Capohttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5806-5171Mario Luiz Teixeira de Moraeshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1076-9812Daniele Fernanda Zulianhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-2483-112XMarcos Silveira Wregehttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6368-6586Renan Marcelo Portelahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4594-0894José Cambuimhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0839-633XAlexandre Marques Da Silvahttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6939-8430Márcia Toffani Simão Soareshttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3820-1855Valderês Aparecida de Sousahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1138-8189Ananda Virginia de Aguiarhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1225-7623ABSTRACT In this work, the prediction of the distribution of M. urundeuva Fr. All. was performed based on the region of natural occurrence of the species. Its geographic coordinates were obtained from online databases CRIA and SpecialLinks, from scientific articles and fieldwork carried out by Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) in Ilha Solteira, São Paulo, Brazil. M. urundeuva is a native tree species with great potential for commercial use in Brazil. For this purpose, ecological niche modeling was used, with current layers of climate variables and layers prepared for future climate scenarios, according to the 4th Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (AR4/IPCC), using Worldclim data on Brazil. With the Open Modeller and ArcGIS programs, maps were generated to predict its occurrence for the current period and future climate scenarios, made according to the projections of global climate changes. With the projection of increases in temperature and precipitation in the area where the species occurs, it tends to migrate to areas of Brazil where the climate is currently milder, in the south and southeast regions. Due to climatic changes, the species tends to undergo changes in distribution and area size until 2080. It was projected for Caatinga and Pantanal, in both periods, an increase in area, while for the Cerrado, in the first period, the area increased, and, for the second, it decreased. Therefore, according to the results of the maps of future projections for the next decades, it is concluded that there will be changes in the distribution of M. urundeuva, with a significant reduction of the potential area of occurrence in the region.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-67622022000100209&tlng=enBrazilian biomesClimatic changesEcological modeling niche |
| spellingShingle | Lorena Frigini Moro Capo Mario Luiz Teixeira de Moraes Daniele Fernanda Zulian Marcos Silveira Wrege Renan Marcelo Portela José Cambuim Alexandre Marques Da Silva Márcia Toffani Simão Soares Valderês Aparecida de Sousa Ananda Virginia de Aguiar NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE Revista Árvore Brazilian biomes Climatic changes Ecological modeling niche |
| title | NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE |
| title_full | NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE |
| title_fullStr | NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE |
| title_full_unstemmed | NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE |
| title_short | NATURAL DISTRIBUTION OF Myracrodruon urundeuva FR. ALL. IN BRAZIL AT CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE SCENARIOS DUE TO GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE |
| title_sort | natural distribution of myracrodruon urundeuva fr all in brazil at current and future climate scenarios due to global climate change |
| topic | Brazilian biomes Climatic changes Ecological modeling niche |
| url | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-67622022000100209&tlng=en |
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