Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets

This study investigates the short-run and long-run impact of coups on Thailand’s financial markets. Using daily data from the stock and foreign exchange markets during the period 2005–2017, the study shows (1) both coups in 2006 and in 2014 exert short-run impact on Thailand’s stock and foreign exch...

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Main Authors: Sutsarun Lumjiak, Nguyen Thi Thieu Quang, Christopher Gan, Sirimon Treepongkaruna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2018-05-01
Series:Investment Management & Financial Innovations
Subjects:
Online Access:https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/10287/imfi_2018_02_Lumjiak.pdf
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author Sutsarun Lumjiak
Nguyen Thi Thieu Quang
Christopher Gan
Sirimon Treepongkaruna
author_facet Sutsarun Lumjiak
Nguyen Thi Thieu Quang
Christopher Gan
Sirimon Treepongkaruna
author_sort Sutsarun Lumjiak
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the short-run and long-run impact of coups on Thailand’s financial markets. Using daily data from the stock and foreign exchange markets during the period 2005–2017, the study shows (1) both coups in 2006 and in 2014 exert short-run impact on Thailand’s stock and foreign exchange markets; (2) however, the direction and magnitude of impact are different and opposite in the two coups; and (3) in the long run, the coups exhibit minimal impact on the currency market, but induce better market performance (positive return and decrease in the return volatility) despite an increase in liquidity risk of the stock market. Against common beliefs about negative consequences of the coup d’états, this study suggests that the uncertainty surrounding coups can bring good investment opportunities for investors to earn abnormal profits. Moreover, in the long term, the coup can drive the country to better stability and development.
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spelling doaj.art-a666d424fd284133ae5e757f3f5b13c62022-12-22T01:13:09ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Investment Management & Financial Innovations1810-49671812-93582018-05-01152688610.21511/imfi.15(2).2018.0710287Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial marketsSutsarun Lumjiak0Nguyen Thi Thieu Quang1Christopher Gan2Sirimon Treepongkaruna3Ministry of Education, BangkokPh.D. Candidate, Department of Financial and Business Systems, Faculty of Agribusiness and Commerce, Lincoln UniversityProfessor, Department of Financial and Business Systems, Faculty of Agribusiness and Commerce, Lincoln UniversityProfessor, University of Western Australia, Business SchoolThis study investigates the short-run and long-run impact of coups on Thailand’s financial markets. Using daily data from the stock and foreign exchange markets during the period 2005–2017, the study shows (1) both coups in 2006 and in 2014 exert short-run impact on Thailand’s stock and foreign exchange markets; (2) however, the direction and magnitude of impact are different and opposite in the two coups; and (3) in the long run, the coups exhibit minimal impact on the currency market, but induce better market performance (positive return and decrease in the return volatility) despite an increase in liquidity risk of the stock market. Against common beliefs about negative consequences of the coup d’états, this study suggests that the uncertainty surrounding coups can bring good investment opportunities for investors to earn abnormal profits. Moreover, in the long term, the coup can drive the country to better stability and development.https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/10287/imfi_2018_02_Lumjiak.pdfcoupsinstabilityriskstock markets
spellingShingle Sutsarun Lumjiak
Nguyen Thi Thieu Quang
Christopher Gan
Sirimon Treepongkaruna
Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets
Investment Management & Financial Innovations
coups
instability
risk
stock markets
title Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets
title_full Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets
title_fullStr Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets
title_full_unstemmed Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets
title_short Good coups, bad coups: evidence from Thailand’s financial markets
title_sort good coups bad coups evidence from thailand s financial markets
topic coups
instability
risk
stock markets
url https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/10287/imfi_2018_02_Lumjiak.pdf
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AT nguyenthithieuquang goodcoupsbadcoupsevidencefromthailandsfinancialmarkets
AT christophergan goodcoupsbadcoupsevidencefromthailandsfinancialmarkets
AT sirimontreepongkaruna goodcoupsbadcoupsevidencefromthailandsfinancialmarkets