Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area

Accurately forecasting the scope of coal mining subsidence area is of great significance to the protection of surface structures. Due to the peculiarities of the unconsolidated layers rock formation, the surface movement of the thick unconsolidated layers mining area converges slowly at the boundary...

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Main Authors: Shenshen Chi, Lei Wang, Xuexiang Yu, Xinjian Fang, Chuang Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2021-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9345699/
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author Shenshen Chi
Lei Wang
Xuexiang Yu
Xinjian Fang
Chuang Jiang
author_facet Shenshen Chi
Lei Wang
Xuexiang Yu
Xinjian Fang
Chuang Jiang
author_sort Shenshen Chi
collection DOAJ
description Accurately forecasting the scope of coal mining subsidence area is of great significance to the protection of surface structures. Due to the peculiarities of the unconsolidated layers rock formation, the surface movement of the thick unconsolidated layers mining area converges slowly at the boundary of the basin, and the boundary of the subsidence basin is larger than under conventional conditions. It is found that the existing models have a poor prediction effect at the boundary, and the predicted subsidence basin range is smaller than the actual basin range. To solve this problem, a new surface deformation prediction model based on Boltzmann function (IB) is proposed in this paper. Aiming at the problem that the model function is highly nonlinear and difficult to obtain parameters, the multi-population genetic algorithm (MPGA) is introduced into the parameter solution of the prediction model, and the parameter calculation model based on multi-population genetic algorithm (MPGAIB) is constructed. The simulation experiment and engineering example analysis show that both the overall fitting effect and the fitting effect at the boundary of IB model are closer to the actual situation, The MPGAIB model has good ability to anti-random error and gross error, and the result is stable.
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spelling doaj.art-a68ae9b1fce94076a7406bbc232c61c72022-12-22T03:47:31ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362021-01-019239962401010.1109/ACCESS.2021.30568739345699Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining AreaShenshen Chi0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8241-2804Lei Wang1Xuexiang Yu2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8195-3078Xinjian Fang3Chuang Jiang4State Key Laboratory of Mining Response and Disaster Prevention and Control in Deep Coal Mines, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, ChinaSchool of Geomatics, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, ChinaSchool of Geomatics, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, ChinaSchool of Geomatics, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, ChinaSchool of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan, ChinaAccurately forecasting the scope of coal mining subsidence area is of great significance to the protection of surface structures. Due to the peculiarities of the unconsolidated layers rock formation, the surface movement of the thick unconsolidated layers mining area converges slowly at the boundary of the basin, and the boundary of the subsidence basin is larger than under conventional conditions. It is found that the existing models have a poor prediction effect at the boundary, and the predicted subsidence basin range is smaller than the actual basin range. To solve this problem, a new surface deformation prediction model based on Boltzmann function (IB) is proposed in this paper. Aiming at the problem that the model function is highly nonlinear and difficult to obtain parameters, the multi-population genetic algorithm (MPGA) is introduced into the parameter solution of the prediction model, and the parameter calculation model based on multi-population genetic algorithm (MPGAIB) is constructed. The simulation experiment and engineering example analysis show that both the overall fitting effect and the fitting effect at the boundary of IB model are closer to the actual situation, The MPGAIB model has good ability to anti-random error and gross error, and the result is stable.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9345699/Mining subsidenceparameter calculationprobability integral methodprediction modelthick unconsolidated layers
spellingShingle Shenshen Chi
Lei Wang
Xuexiang Yu
Xinjian Fang
Chuang Jiang
Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area
IEEE Access
Mining subsidence
parameter calculation
probability integral method
prediction model
thick unconsolidated layers
title Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area
title_full Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area
title_fullStr Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area
title_full_unstemmed Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area
title_short Research on Prediction Model of Mining Subsidence in Thick Unconsolidated Layer Mining Area
title_sort research on prediction model of mining subsidence in thick unconsolidated layer mining area
topic Mining subsidence
parameter calculation
probability integral method
prediction model
thick unconsolidated layers
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9345699/
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AT leiwang researchonpredictionmodelofminingsubsidenceinthickunconsolidatedlayerminingarea
AT xuexiangyu researchonpredictionmodelofminingsubsidenceinthickunconsolidatedlayerminingarea
AT xinjianfang researchonpredictionmodelofminingsubsidenceinthickunconsolidatedlayerminingarea
AT chuangjiang researchonpredictionmodelofminingsubsidenceinthickunconsolidatedlayerminingarea