Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate
We conduct extended versions of the ISMIP6 future climate experiments for the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 with the model SICOPOLIS. Beyond 2100, the climate forcing is kept fixed at late-21st-century conditions. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a se...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Cambridge University Press
2022-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Glaciology |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143022000090/type/journal_article |
| _version_ | 1811155752271740928 |
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| author | Ralf Greve Christopher Chambers |
| author_facet | Ralf Greve Christopher Chambers |
| author_sort | Ralf Greve |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We conduct extended versions of the ISMIP6 future climate experiments for the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 with the model SICOPOLIS. Beyond 2100, the climate forcing is kept fixed at late-21st-century conditions. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a severe mass loss, which amounts to ~ 1.8 m SLE (sea-level equivalent) for the 12-experiment mean, and ~ 3.5 m SLE (~ 50% of the entire mass) for the most sensitive experiment. For the reduced emissions pathway RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6, the mass loss is limited to a two-experiment mean of ~ 0.28 m SLE. Climate-change mitigation during the next decades will therefore be an efficient means for limiting the contribution of the Greenland ice sheet to sea-level rise in the long term. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T04:39:50Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a69e9574ffe44e8ca88d746c7ce32d76 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0022-1430 1727-5652 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T04:39:50Z |
| publishDate | 2022-06-01 |
| publisher | Cambridge University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Glaciology |
| spelling | doaj.art-a69e9574ffe44e8ca88d746c7ce32d762023-03-09T12:41:16ZengCambridge University PressJournal of Glaciology0022-14301727-56522022-06-016861862410.1017/jog.2022.9Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climateRalf Greve0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1341-4777Christopher Chambers1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8847-6123Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan Arctic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, JapanInstitute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, JapanWe conduct extended versions of the ISMIP6 future climate experiments for the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 with the model SICOPOLIS. Beyond 2100, the climate forcing is kept fixed at late-21st-century conditions. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a severe mass loss, which amounts to ~ 1.8 m SLE (sea-level equivalent) for the 12-experiment mean, and ~ 3.5 m SLE (~ 50% of the entire mass) for the most sensitive experiment. For the reduced emissions pathway RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6, the mass loss is limited to a two-experiment mean of ~ 0.28 m SLE. Climate-change mitigation during the next decades will therefore be an efficient means for limiting the contribution of the Greenland ice sheet to sea-level rise in the long term.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143022000090/type/journal_articleArctic glaciologyclimate changeice and climateice-sheet modelling |
| spellingShingle | Ralf Greve Christopher Chambers Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate Journal of Glaciology Arctic glaciology climate change ice and climate ice-sheet modelling |
| title | Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
| title_full | Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
| title_fullStr | Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
| title_full_unstemmed | Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
| title_short | Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
| title_sort | mass loss of the greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late 21st century climate |
| topic | Arctic glaciology climate change ice and climate ice-sheet modelling |
| url | https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143022000090/type/journal_article |
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