Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties

Abstract Background Micro-grid (MG) can be described as a group of controllable loads and distributed energy resources that can be connected and disconnected from the main grid and utilized in grid-connected or islanded modes considering certain electrical constraints. Methods The objective of this...

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Main Authors: Ehsan Jafari, Soodabeh Soleymani, Babak Mozafari, Touraj Amraee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2018-01-01
Series:Energy, Sustainability and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13705-017-0142-z
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author Ehsan Jafari
Soodabeh Soleymani
Babak Mozafari
Touraj Amraee
author_facet Ehsan Jafari
Soodabeh Soleymani
Babak Mozafari
Touraj Amraee
author_sort Ehsan Jafari
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Micro-grid (MG) can be described as a group of controllable loads and distributed energy resources that can be connected and disconnected from the main grid and utilized in grid-connected or islanded modes considering certain electrical constraints. Methods The objective of this article are as follows: (1) predict the uncertainties through the hybrid method of WT-ANN-ICA and (2) determine the optimal generation strategy of a MG containing wind farms (WFs), photovoltaic (PV), fuel cell (FC), combined heat and power (CHP) units, tidal steam turbine (TST), and also boiler and energy storage devices (ESDs). The uncertainties include wind speed, tidal steam speed, photovoltaic power generation (PVPG), market price, power, and thermal load demand. For modeling uncertainties, an effort has been made to predict uncertainties through the hybrid method of wavelet transform (WT) in order to reduce fluctuations in the historical input data. An improved artificial neural network (ANN) based on the nonlinear structure is applied for better training and learning. Furthermore, the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) is applied to find the best weights and biases for minimizing the mean square error of predictions. Result The scenario-based stochastic optimization problem is proposed to determine the optimal points for the energy resources generation and to maximize the expected profit considering demand response (DR) programs and uncertainties. Conclusions In this study, three cases are assessed to confirm the performance of the proposed method. In the first case study programming, MG is isolated from grid. In the second case study, which is grid-connected mode, the WT-ANN-ICA and WT-ANN uncertainty prediction methods are compared. In the third case, which is grid-connected mode, the effect of DR programs on the expected profit of energy resources is assessed.
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spelling doaj.art-a6a22148c66148ac91ceb787f74026412022-12-21T20:08:06ZengBMCEnergy, Sustainability and Society2192-05672018-01-018111410.1186/s13705-017-0142-zScenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertaintiesEhsan Jafari0Soodabeh Soleymani1Babak Mozafari2Touraj Amraee3Department of Electrical and computer Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad UniversityDepartment of Electrical and computer Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad UniversityDepartment of Electrical and computer Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad UniversityDepartment of Electrical Engineering, K. N. Toosi University of TechnologyAbstract Background Micro-grid (MG) can be described as a group of controllable loads and distributed energy resources that can be connected and disconnected from the main grid and utilized in grid-connected or islanded modes considering certain electrical constraints. Methods The objective of this article are as follows: (1) predict the uncertainties through the hybrid method of WT-ANN-ICA and (2) determine the optimal generation strategy of a MG containing wind farms (WFs), photovoltaic (PV), fuel cell (FC), combined heat and power (CHP) units, tidal steam turbine (TST), and also boiler and energy storage devices (ESDs). The uncertainties include wind speed, tidal steam speed, photovoltaic power generation (PVPG), market price, power, and thermal load demand. For modeling uncertainties, an effort has been made to predict uncertainties through the hybrid method of wavelet transform (WT) in order to reduce fluctuations in the historical input data. An improved artificial neural network (ANN) based on the nonlinear structure is applied for better training and learning. Furthermore, the imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) is applied to find the best weights and biases for minimizing the mean square error of predictions. Result The scenario-based stochastic optimization problem is proposed to determine the optimal points for the energy resources generation and to maximize the expected profit considering demand response (DR) programs and uncertainties. Conclusions In this study, three cases are assessed to confirm the performance of the proposed method. In the first case study programming, MG is isolated from grid. In the second case study, which is grid-connected mode, the WT-ANN-ICA and WT-ANN uncertainty prediction methods are compared. In the third case, which is grid-connected mode, the effect of DR programs on the expected profit of energy resources is assessed.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13705-017-0142-zMicro-gridWind farmPhotovoltaicCombined heat and powerTidal steam turbineExpected profit
spellingShingle Ehsan Jafari
Soodabeh Soleymani
Babak Mozafari
Touraj Amraee
Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties
Energy, Sustainability and Society
Micro-grid
Wind farm
Photovoltaic
Combined heat and power
Tidal steam turbine
Expected profit
title Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties
title_full Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties
title_fullStr Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties
title_short Scenario-based stochastic optimal operation of wind/PV/FC/CHP/boiler/tidal/energy storage system considering DR programs and uncertainties
title_sort scenario based stochastic optimal operation of wind pv fc chp boiler tidal energy storage system considering dr programs and uncertainties
topic Micro-grid
Wind farm
Photovoltaic
Combined heat and power
Tidal steam turbine
Expected profit
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13705-017-0142-z
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AT babakmozafari scenariobasedstochasticoptimaloperationofwindpvfcchpboilertidalenergystoragesystemconsideringdrprogramsanduncertainties
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