Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation

The article proposes the probability determination technique of timely aircraft departure, which is based on mathematical modeling method. It is proposed to use the indicator of timely departure probability, a calculation method of which is different from the known methods by taking into account the...

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Main Author: S. V. Nikolaev
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation 2019-10-01
Series:Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
Subjects:
Online Access:https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/1506
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author S. V. Nikolaev
author_facet S. V. Nikolaev
author_sort S. V. Nikolaev
collection DOAJ
description The article proposes the probability determination technique of timely aircraft departure, which is based on mathematical modeling method. It is proposed to use the indicator of timely departure probability, a calculation method of which is different from the known methods by taking into account the aircraft maintenance and repair system. This technique applies modern information technologies and the adopted approach is also supplemented with the mathematical model software implementation. The method of aircraft timely departure probability calculation is based on the model of the aircraft maintenance and repair system, utilizing the theory of mass service mathematical apparatus. The technique allows us to achieve the practical objectives of flight tests implementing aircraft maintainability evaluation and also complements the existing methodological support of the tests. The developed computer program provides the calculation of the required indicators for various values and combinations of factors which influence the result. Modeling was performed, and the study results of the main factors of probability effect, influencing timely departure are presented. Eventually the basic laws in solving the problem of aircraft timely departure, including interception of flying object are established.
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spelling doaj.art-a6f23b146fba45baa159dd1c88f7f8fe2025-03-02T11:13:39ZrusMoscow State Technical University of Civil AviationНаучный вестник МГТУ ГА2079-06192542-01192019-10-012259410610.26467/2079-0619-2019-22-5-94-1061314Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculationS. V. Nikolaev0Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University), "Vzlet" BranchThe article proposes the probability determination technique of timely aircraft departure, which is based on mathematical modeling method. It is proposed to use the indicator of timely departure probability, a calculation method of which is different from the known methods by taking into account the aircraft maintenance and repair system. This technique applies modern information technologies and the adopted approach is also supplemented with the mathematical model software implementation. The method of aircraft timely departure probability calculation is based on the model of the aircraft maintenance and repair system, utilizing the theory of mass service mathematical apparatus. The technique allows us to achieve the practical objectives of flight tests implementing aircraft maintainability evaluation and also complements the existing methodological support of the tests. The developed computer program provides the calculation of the required indicators for various values and combinations of factors which influence the result. Modeling was performed, and the study results of the main factors of probability effect, influencing timely departure are presented. Eventually the basic laws in solving the problem of aircraft timely departure, including interception of flying object are established.https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/1506flight testsdeparture probabilitytimely departureaircraft
spellingShingle S. V. Nikolaev
Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
flight tests
departure probability
timely departure
aircraft
title Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
title_full Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
title_fullStr Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
title_full_unstemmed Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
title_short Aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
title_sort aircraft timely departure probability technique calculation
topic flight tests
departure probability
timely departure
aircraft
url https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/1506
work_keys_str_mv AT svnikolaev aircrafttimelydepartureprobabilitytechniquecalculation