Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus

Predicting soil chemical properties such as soil organic carbon (SOC) and available phosphorus (Ava-P) content is critical in areas where different land uses exist. The distribution of SOC and Ava-P is influenced by both natural and anthropogenic factors. This study aimed at (1) predicting SOC and A...

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Main Authors: Fuat Kaya, Ali Keshavarzi, Rosa Francaviglia, Gordana Kaplan, Levent Başayiğit, Mert Dedeoğlu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-07-01
Series:Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/7/1062
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author Fuat Kaya
Ali Keshavarzi
Rosa Francaviglia
Gordana Kaplan
Levent Başayiğit
Mert Dedeoğlu
author_facet Fuat Kaya
Ali Keshavarzi
Rosa Francaviglia
Gordana Kaplan
Levent Başayiğit
Mert Dedeoğlu
author_sort Fuat Kaya
collection DOAJ
description Predicting soil chemical properties such as soil organic carbon (SOC) and available phosphorus (Ava-P) content is critical in areas where different land uses exist. The distribution of SOC and Ava-P is influenced by both natural and anthropogenic factors. This study aimed at (1) predicting SOC and Ava-P in a piedmont plain of Northeast Iran using the Random Forests (RF) and Cubist mathematical models and hybrid models (Regression Kriging), (2) comparing the models’ results, and (3) identifying the key variables that influence the spatial dynamics of soil SOC and Ava-P under different agricultural practices. The machine learning models were trained with 201 composite surface soil samples and 24 ancillary data, including climate (C), organism (O), topography- relief (R), parent material (P) and key soil features (S) according to the SCORPAN digital soil mapping framework, which can predictively represent soil formation factors spatially. Clay, one of the most critical soil properties with a well-known relationship to SOC, was the most important predictor of SOC, followed by open-access multispectral satellite images-based vegetation and soil indices. Ava-P had a similar set of effective variables. Hybrid approaches did not improve model accuracy significantly, but they did reduce map uncertainty. In the validation set, Ava-P was calculated using the RF algorithm with a normalized root mean square (NRMSE) of 96.8, while SOC was calculated using the Cubist algorithm with an NRMSE of 94.2. These values did not change when using the hybrid technique for Ava-P; however, they changed just by 1% for SOC. The management of SOC content and the supply of Ava-P in agricultural activities can be guided by SOC and Ava-P digital distribution maps. Produced digital maps in which the soil scientist plays an active role can be used to identify areas where concentrations are high and need to be protected, where uncertainty is high and sampling is required for further monitoring.
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spelling doaj.art-a710f0b660f046afa7b04fdc33d7ee3a2023-12-01T21:46:45ZengMDPI AGAgriculture2077-04722022-07-01127106210.3390/agriculture12071062Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available PhosphorusFuat Kaya0Ali Keshavarzi1Rosa Francaviglia2Gordana Kaplan3Levent Başayiğit4Mert Dedeoğlu5Department of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition, Faculty of Agriculture, Isparta University of Applied Sciences, Isparta 32260, TürkiyeLaboratory of Remote Sensing and GIS, Department of Soil Science, University of Tehran, P.O. Box 4111, Karaj 31587-77871, IranResearch Centre for Agriculture and Environment, Council for Agricultural Research and Economics, 00184 Rome, ItalyInstitute of Earth and Space Sciences, Eskisehir Technical University, Eskisehir 26555, TürkiyeDepartment of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition, Faculty of Agriculture, Isparta University of Applied Sciences, Isparta 32260, TürkiyeDepartment of Soil Science and Plant Nutrition, Agriculture Faculty, Selçuk University, Konya 42130, TürkiyePredicting soil chemical properties such as soil organic carbon (SOC) and available phosphorus (Ava-P) content is critical in areas where different land uses exist. The distribution of SOC and Ava-P is influenced by both natural and anthropogenic factors. This study aimed at (1) predicting SOC and Ava-P in a piedmont plain of Northeast Iran using the Random Forests (RF) and Cubist mathematical models and hybrid models (Regression Kriging), (2) comparing the models’ results, and (3) identifying the key variables that influence the spatial dynamics of soil SOC and Ava-P under different agricultural practices. The machine learning models were trained with 201 composite surface soil samples and 24 ancillary data, including climate (C), organism (O), topography- relief (R), parent material (P) and key soil features (S) according to the SCORPAN digital soil mapping framework, which can predictively represent soil formation factors spatially. Clay, one of the most critical soil properties with a well-known relationship to SOC, was the most important predictor of SOC, followed by open-access multispectral satellite images-based vegetation and soil indices. Ava-P had a similar set of effective variables. Hybrid approaches did not improve model accuracy significantly, but they did reduce map uncertainty. In the validation set, Ava-P was calculated using the RF algorithm with a normalized root mean square (NRMSE) of 96.8, while SOC was calculated using the Cubist algorithm with an NRMSE of 94.2. These values did not change when using the hybrid technique for Ava-P; however, they changed just by 1% for SOC. The management of SOC content and the supply of Ava-P in agricultural activities can be guided by SOC and Ava-P digital distribution maps. Produced digital maps in which the soil scientist plays an active role can be used to identify areas where concentrations are high and need to be protected, where uncertainty is high and sampling is required for further monitoring.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/7/1062digital soil mappinglandsat 8 OLIsentinel 2A MSIsoil organic carbonphosphorusenvironmental covariates
spellingShingle Fuat Kaya
Ali Keshavarzi
Rosa Francaviglia
Gordana Kaplan
Levent Başayiğit
Mert Dedeoğlu
Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus
Agriculture
digital soil mapping
landsat 8 OLI
sentinel 2A MSI
soil organic carbon
phosphorus
environmental covariates
title Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus
title_full Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus
title_fullStr Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus
title_full_unstemmed Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus
title_short Assessing Machine Learning-Based Prediction under Different Agricultural Practices for Digital Mapping of Soil Organic Carbon and Available Phosphorus
title_sort assessing machine learning based prediction under different agricultural practices for digital mapping of soil organic carbon and available phosphorus
topic digital soil mapping
landsat 8 OLI
sentinel 2A MSI
soil organic carbon
phosphorus
environmental covariates
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/12/7/1062
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