Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast

The application of simulation software has proven to be a crucial tool for tsunami hazard assessment studies. Understanding the potentially devastating effects of tsunamis leads to the development of safety and resilience measures, such as the design of evacuation plans or the planning of the econom...

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Main Authors: Alejandro González, Marta Fernández, Miguel Llorente, Jorge Macías, Carlos Sánchez-Linares, Julián García-Mayordomo, Carlos Paredes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-05-01
Series:GeoHazards
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2624-795X/3/2/16
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author Alejandro González
Marta Fernández
Miguel Llorente
Jorge Macías
Carlos Sánchez-Linares
Julián García-Mayordomo
Carlos Paredes
author_facet Alejandro González
Marta Fernández
Miguel Llorente
Jorge Macías
Carlos Sánchez-Linares
Julián García-Mayordomo
Carlos Paredes
author_sort Alejandro González
collection DOAJ
description The application of simulation software has proven to be a crucial tool for tsunami hazard assessment studies. Understanding the potentially devastating effects of tsunamis leads to the development of safety and resilience measures, such as the design of evacuation plans or the planning of the economic investment necessary to quickly mitigate their consequences. This article introduces a pseudo-probabilistic seismic-triggered tsunami simulation approach to investigate the potential impact of tsunamis in the southwestern coast of Spain, in the provinces of Huelva and Cádiz. Selected faults, probabilistic distributions and sampling methods are presented as well as some results for the nearly 900 Atlantic-origin tsunamis computed along the 250 km-long coast.
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spelling doaj.art-a7418118b6d54dc4befb210c546176bf2023-11-23T16:49:30ZengMDPI AGGeoHazards2624-795X2022-05-013229432210.3390/geohazards3020016Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish CoastAlejandro González0Marta Fernández1Miguel Llorente2Jorge Macías3Carlos Sánchez-Linares4Julián García-Mayordomo5Carlos Paredes6Geological Survey of Spain (CN-IGME CSIC), Department of Research and Prospective Geoscience, Rios Rosas 23, 28003 Madrid, SpainGeological Survey of Spain (CN-IGME CSIC), Department of Research and Prospective Geoscience, Rios Rosas 23, 28003 Madrid, SpainGeological Survey of Spain (CN-IGME CSIC), Department of Research and Prospective Geoscience, Rios Rosas 23, 28003 Madrid, SpainDepartamento de Análisis Matemático, Estadística e Investigación Operativa y Matemática Aplicada, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Málaga, Campus de Teatinos, 29010 Málaga, SpainDepartamento de Análisis Matemático, Estadística e Investigación Operativa y Matemática Aplicada, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Málaga, Campus de Teatinos, 29010 Málaga, SpainGeological Survey of Spain (CN-IGME CSIC), Department of Research and Prospective Geoscience, Rios Rosas 23, 28003 Madrid, SpainDepartamento de Ingeniería Geológica y Minera, Escuela de Minas y Energía, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Ríos Rosas 21, 28003 Madrid, SpainThe application of simulation software has proven to be a crucial tool for tsunami hazard assessment studies. Understanding the potentially devastating effects of tsunamis leads to the development of safety and resilience measures, such as the design of evacuation plans or the planning of the economic investment necessary to quickly mitigate their consequences. This article introduces a pseudo-probabilistic seismic-triggered tsunami simulation approach to investigate the potential impact of tsunamis in the southwestern coast of Spain, in the provinces of Huelva and Cádiz. Selected faults, probabilistic distributions and sampling methods are presented as well as some results for the nearly 900 Atlantic-origin tsunamis computed along the 250 km-long coast.https://www.mdpi.com/2624-795X/3/2/16tsunamisimulationseismic faultssobol samplingpseudo-probabilistic
spellingShingle Alejandro González
Marta Fernández
Miguel Llorente
Jorge Macías
Carlos Sánchez-Linares
Julián García-Mayordomo
Carlos Paredes
Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast
GeoHazards
tsunami
simulation
seismic faults
sobol sampling
pseudo-probabilistic
title Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast
title_full Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast
title_fullStr Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast
title_full_unstemmed Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast
title_short Pseudo-Probabilistic Design for High-Resolution Tsunami Simulations in the Southwestern Spanish Coast
title_sort pseudo probabilistic design for high resolution tsunami simulations in the southwestern spanish coast
topic tsunami
simulation
seismic faults
sobol sampling
pseudo-probabilistic
url https://www.mdpi.com/2624-795X/3/2/16
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