Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models

Regulators require the gas industry to assess the risks of unintentional release of chemicals to the environment and implement measures to mitigate it. Industry standard models for contaminant transport in aquifers do not explicitly model processes in the unsaturated zone and groundwater models ofte...

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Main Authors: David Rassam, J. Sreekanth, Dirk Mallants, Dennis Gonzalez, Rebecca Doble, Trevor Pickett
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2021.799738/full
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author David Rassam
J. Sreekanth
Dirk Mallants
Dennis Gonzalez
Rebecca Doble
Trevor Pickett
author_facet David Rassam
J. Sreekanth
Dirk Mallants
Dennis Gonzalez
Rebecca Doble
Trevor Pickett
author_sort David Rassam
collection DOAJ
description Regulators require the gas industry to assess the risks of unintentional release of chemicals to the environment and implement measures to mitigate it. Industry standard models for contaminant transport in aquifers do not explicitly model processes in the unsaturated zone and groundwater models often require long run times to complete simulation of complex processes. We propose a stochastic numerical-analytical hybrid model to overcome these two shortcomings and demonstrate its application to assess the risks associated with onshore gas drilling in the Otway Basin, South Australia. The novel approach couples HYDRUS-1D to an analytical solution to model contaminant transport in the aquifer. Groundwater velocities and chemical trajectories were derived from a particle tracking analysis. The most influential parameters controlling solute delivery to the aquifer were the soil chemical degradation constant and the hydraulic conductivity of a throttle soil horizon. Only 18% of the flow paths intercepted environmental receptors within a 1-km radius from the source, 87% of which had concentrations of <1% of the source. The proposed methodology assesses the risk to environmental assets and informs regulators to implement measures that mitigate risk down to an acceptable level.
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spelling doaj.art-a754a8fdb24247148cc60af3b8d7f35a2022-12-21T19:48:43ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Water2624-93752022-01-01310.3389/frwa.2021.799738799738Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport ModelsDavid Rassam0J. Sreekanth1Dirk Mallants2Dennis Gonzalez3Rebecca Doble4Trevor Pickett5Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Dutton Park, QLD, AustraliaCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Dutton Park, QLD, AustraliaCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Urrbrae, SA, AustraliaCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Urrbrae, SA, AustraliaCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Urrbrae, SA, AustraliaCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land and Water, Dutton Park, QLD, AustraliaRegulators require the gas industry to assess the risks of unintentional release of chemicals to the environment and implement measures to mitigate it. Industry standard models for contaminant transport in aquifers do not explicitly model processes in the unsaturated zone and groundwater models often require long run times to complete simulation of complex processes. We propose a stochastic numerical-analytical hybrid model to overcome these two shortcomings and demonstrate its application to assess the risks associated with onshore gas drilling in the Otway Basin, South Australia. The novel approach couples HYDRUS-1D to an analytical solution to model contaminant transport in the aquifer. Groundwater velocities and chemical trajectories were derived from a particle tracking analysis. The most influential parameters controlling solute delivery to the aquifer were the soil chemical degradation constant and the hydraulic conductivity of a throttle soil horizon. Only 18% of the flow paths intercepted environmental receptors within a 1-km radius from the source, 87% of which had concentrations of <1% of the source. The proposed methodology assesses the risk to environmental assets and informs regulators to implement measures that mitigate risk down to an acceptable level.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2021.799738/fullrisk assessmentcontaminant transportvadose zone modellingpythonMODFLOWMT3D
spellingShingle David Rassam
J. Sreekanth
Dirk Mallants
Dennis Gonzalez
Rebecca Doble
Trevor Pickett
Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models
Frontiers in Water
risk assessment
contaminant transport
vadose zone modelling
python
MODFLOW
MT3D
title Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models
title_full Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models
title_fullStr Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models
title_short Stochastic Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Risks From Onshore Gas Development Using Computationally Efficient Analytical and Numerical Transport Models
title_sort stochastic assessment of groundwater contamination risks from onshore gas development using computationally efficient analytical and numerical transport models
topic risk assessment
contaminant transport
vadose zone modelling
python
MODFLOW
MT3D
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/frwa.2021.799738/full
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