Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes

This article proposes two ensemble neural network-based models for blood glucose prediction at three different prediction horizons—30, 60, and 120 min—and compares their performance with ten recently proposed neural networks. The twelve models’ performances are evaluated under the same OhioT1DM Data...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Félix Tena, Oscar Garnica, Juan Lanchares, Jose Ignacio Hidalgo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-10-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/21/21/7090
_version_ 1827677898466656256
author Félix Tena
Oscar Garnica
Juan Lanchares
Jose Ignacio Hidalgo
author_facet Félix Tena
Oscar Garnica
Juan Lanchares
Jose Ignacio Hidalgo
author_sort Félix Tena
collection DOAJ
description This article proposes two ensemble neural network-based models for blood glucose prediction at three different prediction horizons—30, 60, and 120 min—and compares their performance with ten recently proposed neural networks. The twelve models’ performances are evaluated under the same OhioT1DM Dataset, preprocessing workflow, and tools at the three prediction horizons using the most common metrics in blood glucose prediction, and we rank the best-performing ones using three methods devised for the statistical comparison of the performance of multiple algorithms: scmamp, model confidence set, and superior predictive ability. Our analysis provides a comparison of the state-of-the-art neural networks for blood glucose prediction, estimating the model’s error, highlighting those with the highest probability of being the best predictors, and providing a guide for their use in clinical practice.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T05:53:09Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a7667c8e64384beebd5f8806e8064a81
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1424-8220
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T05:53:09Z
publishDate 2021-10-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Sensors
spelling doaj.art-a7667c8e64384beebd5f8806e8064a812023-11-22T21:36:26ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202021-10-012121709010.3390/s21217090Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with DiabetesFélix Tena0Oscar Garnica1Juan Lanchares2Jose Ignacio Hidalgo3Department of Computer Architecture, Facultad de Informática, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, SpainDepartment of Computer Architecture, Facultad de Informática, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, SpainDepartment of Computer Architecture, Facultad de Informática, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, SpainDepartment of Computer Architecture, Facultad de Informática, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, 28040 Madrid, SpainThis article proposes two ensemble neural network-based models for blood glucose prediction at three different prediction horizons—30, 60, and 120 min—and compares their performance with ten recently proposed neural networks. The twelve models’ performances are evaluated under the same OhioT1DM Dataset, preprocessing workflow, and tools at the three prediction horizons using the most common metrics in blood glucose prediction, and we rank the best-performing ones using three methods devised for the statistical comparison of the performance of multiple algorithms: scmamp, model confidence set, and superior predictive ability. Our analysis provides a comparison of the state-of-the-art neural networks for blood glucose prediction, estimating the model’s error, highlighting those with the highest probability of being the best predictors, and providing a guide for their use in clinical practice.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/21/21/7090deep learningneural networksensemble modelsdiabetesblood glucose prediction
spellingShingle Félix Tena
Oscar Garnica
Juan Lanchares
Jose Ignacio Hidalgo
Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes
Sensors
deep learning
neural networks
ensemble models
diabetes
blood glucose prediction
title Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes
title_full Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes
title_fullStr Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes
title_full_unstemmed Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes
title_short Ensemble Models of Cutting-Edge Deep Neural Networks for Blood Glucose Prediction in Patients with Diabetes
title_sort ensemble models of cutting edge deep neural networks for blood glucose prediction in patients with diabetes
topic deep learning
neural networks
ensemble models
diabetes
blood glucose prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/21/21/7090
work_keys_str_mv AT felixtena ensemblemodelsofcuttingedgedeepneuralnetworksforbloodglucosepredictioninpatientswithdiabetes
AT oscargarnica ensemblemodelsofcuttingedgedeepneuralnetworksforbloodglucosepredictioninpatientswithdiabetes
AT juanlanchares ensemblemodelsofcuttingedgedeepneuralnetworksforbloodglucosepredictioninpatientswithdiabetes
AT joseignaciohidalgo ensemblemodelsofcuttingedgedeepneuralnetworksforbloodglucosepredictioninpatientswithdiabetes