Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?

The paper provides an examination of interwar Latvia’s national accounts, checking their usability for estimating interwar economic growth performance. According to the authoritative account of Roses and Wolf [(2010). Aggregate growth, 1913–1950. In S. Broadberry, & K. H. O’Rourke (Eds.), The Ca...

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Main Authors: Ola Grytten, Zenonas Norkus, Jurgita Markevičiūtė, Jānis Šiliņš
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-07-01
Series:Baltic Journal of Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1406099X.2022.2097370
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author Ola Grytten
Zenonas Norkus
Jurgita Markevičiūtė
Jānis Šiliņš
author_facet Ola Grytten
Zenonas Norkus
Jurgita Markevičiūtė
Jānis Šiliņš
author_sort Ola Grytten
collection DOAJ
description The paper provides an examination of interwar Latvia’s national accounts, checking their usability for estimating interwar economic growth performance. According to the authoritative account of Roses and Wolf [(2010). Aggregate growth, 1913–1950. In S. Broadberry, & K. H. O’Rourke (Eds.), The Cambridge economic history of modern Europe, vol 2. 1870 to the present (pp. 183–207). Cambridge UP.], based on indirect estimation methods, Latvia’s GDPpc growth rate from 1929 to 1938 was the highest in Europe. However, according to Aizsilnieks [(1968). Latvijas saimniecības vēsture, 1914–1945. Daugava.] interwar national income estimates show that the Latvian economy stagnated in the 1930s. This paper’s main findings are that applying historical price indices to the existing interwar output estimates supports the stagnation thesis. However, the national income estimates lack validity and reliability due to unpersistent or unknown methodology. Hence, changes in real output cannot be established without new calculations according to the contemporary System of National Accounts (SNA 2008) framework.
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spelling doaj.art-a76ff7c3220d45f2a0cd0617378d09ae2022-12-22T03:46:20ZengTaylor & Francis GroupBaltic Journal of Economics1406-099X2334-43852022-07-012229010910.1080/1406099X.2022.2097370Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?Ola Grytten0Zenonas Norkus1Jurgita Markevičiūtė2Jānis Šiliņš3Department of Economics, NHH Norwegian School of Economics Bergen, NorwayFaculty of Philosophy, Institute of Sociology and Social Work, Vilnius University, Vilnius- LithuaniaFaculty of Philosophy, Institute of Sociology and Social Work, Vilnius University, Vilnius- LithuaniaVidzeme University of Applied Sciences, Valmiera, LatviaThe paper provides an examination of interwar Latvia’s national accounts, checking their usability for estimating interwar economic growth performance. According to the authoritative account of Roses and Wolf [(2010). Aggregate growth, 1913–1950. In S. Broadberry, & K. H. O’Rourke (Eds.), The Cambridge economic history of modern Europe, vol 2. 1870 to the present (pp. 183–207). Cambridge UP.], based on indirect estimation methods, Latvia’s GDPpc growth rate from 1929 to 1938 was the highest in Europe. However, according to Aizsilnieks [(1968). Latvijas saimniecības vēsture, 1914–1945. Daugava.] interwar national income estimates show that the Latvian economy stagnated in the 1930s. This paper’s main findings are that applying historical price indices to the existing interwar output estimates supports the stagnation thesis. However, the national income estimates lack validity and reliability due to unpersistent or unknown methodology. Hence, changes in real output cannot be established without new calculations according to the contemporary System of National Accounts (SNA 2008) framework.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1406099X.2022.2097370National accountingnational incomeeconomic growth of interwar LatviaAlfreds CeichnersE01N14
spellingShingle Ola Grytten
Zenonas Norkus
Jurgita Markevičiūtė
Jānis Šiliņš
Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?
Baltic Journal of Economics
National accounting
national income
economic growth of interwar Latvia
Alfreds Ceichners
E01
N14
title Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?
title_full Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?
title_fullStr Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?
title_full_unstemmed Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?
title_short Can the economic growth of interwar Latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts?
title_sort can the economic growth of interwar latvia be estimated by contemporary national accounts
topic National accounting
national income
economic growth of interwar Latvia
Alfreds Ceichners
E01
N14
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1406099X.2022.2097370
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AT jurgitamarkeviciute cantheeconomicgrowthofinterwarlatviabeestimatedbycontemporarynationalaccounts
AT janissilins cantheeconomicgrowthofinterwarlatviabeestimatedbycontemporarynationalaccounts