Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe

Purpose – Many developing countries are pursuing policies that foster international financial integration after decades of financial repression. Greater access to foreign financial markets may have both positive and negative impact on the performance of the economy. One of the concerns of internatio...

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Main Author: Richard Makoto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2020-04-01
Series:Journal of Economics and Development
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JED-11-2019-0063/full/pdf?title=financial-integration-and-macroeconomic-volatility-in-zimbabwe
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author Richard Makoto
author_facet Richard Makoto
author_sort Richard Makoto
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description Purpose – Many developing countries are pursuing policies that foster international financial integration after decades of financial repression. Greater access to foreign financial markets may have both positive and negative impact on the performance of the economy. One of the concerns of international financial integration is macroeconomic volatility which may affect both monetary and real sectors. Zimbabwe has chosen to pursue a financial liberalization strategy in the form of imperfect financial integration following periods of excessive domestic shocks. An upsurge of capital flows since the epic of economic crisis in the 2000s has been observed with varying macroeconomic impacts. This study empirically examines the impact of partial international financial integration on the volatility of macroeconomic variables. Design/methodology/approach – The study utilized an ARDL Model suggested by Pesaran et al., (2003) which is appropriate for short time periods. Findings – The results show that financial integration has a negative effect on output volatility while insignificant on consumption volatility. Practical implications – The study recommends that the country should gradually liberalize the capital account and properly sequence financial development reforms in order to minimize losses from global financial integration. Originality/value – The study used time series for Zimbabwe during a period of external imbalance, repeated economic cycles, sudden stops in capital flows and limited scope of imperfect financial integration. Findings in such an economy will be a referral for policymakers in other economies that would want to pursue international financial integration.
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spelling doaj.art-a7902186e9fd440eae2431a42c43b2902022-12-22T03:19:59ZengEmerald PublishingJournal of Economics and Development1859-00202632-53302020-04-0122222924810.1108/JED-11-2019-0063643324Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in ZimbabweRichard Makoto0Department of Economics, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabwePurpose – Many developing countries are pursuing policies that foster international financial integration after decades of financial repression. Greater access to foreign financial markets may have both positive and negative impact on the performance of the economy. One of the concerns of international financial integration is macroeconomic volatility which may affect both monetary and real sectors. Zimbabwe has chosen to pursue a financial liberalization strategy in the form of imperfect financial integration following periods of excessive domestic shocks. An upsurge of capital flows since the epic of economic crisis in the 2000s has been observed with varying macroeconomic impacts. This study empirically examines the impact of partial international financial integration on the volatility of macroeconomic variables. Design/methodology/approach – The study utilized an ARDL Model suggested by Pesaran et al., (2003) which is appropriate for short time periods. Findings – The results show that financial integration has a negative effect on output volatility while insignificant on consumption volatility. Practical implications – The study recommends that the country should gradually liberalize the capital account and properly sequence financial development reforms in order to minimize losses from global financial integration. Originality/value – The study used time series for Zimbabwe during a period of external imbalance, repeated economic cycles, sudden stops in capital flows and limited scope of imperfect financial integration. Findings in such an economy will be a referral for policymakers in other economies that would want to pursue international financial integration.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JED-11-2019-0063/full/pdf?title=financial-integration-and-macroeconomic-volatility-in-zimbabwefinancial integrationconsumption volatilitygdp volatility
spellingShingle Richard Makoto
Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe
Journal of Economics and Development
financial integration
consumption volatility
gdp volatility
title Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe
title_full Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe
title_fullStr Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe
title_full_unstemmed Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe
title_short Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe
title_sort financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in zimbabwe
topic financial integration
consumption volatility
gdp volatility
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JED-11-2019-0063/full/pdf?title=financial-integration-and-macroeconomic-volatility-in-zimbabwe
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