The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability
In the research, decision-making capabilities are explored in relation to the prediction of evacuation efficiency to improve forecast accuracy on metro platforms. For this purpose, this study reviewed theories related to evacuation behaviours utilising the anomaly-seeking approach and the paradigm o...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2022-09-01
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| Series: | Applied Sciences |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/18/8992 |
| _version_ | 1797491570463735808 |
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| author | Zhizhe Zheng Zhichao Zhou Yilin Wang Yikun Su |
| author_facet | Zhizhe Zheng Zhichao Zhou Yilin Wang Yikun Su |
| author_sort | Zhizhe Zheng |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In the research, decision-making capabilities are explored in relation to the prediction of evacuation efficiency to improve forecast accuracy on metro platforms. For this purpose, this study reviewed theories related to evacuation behaviours utilising the anomaly-seeking approach and the paradigm of relationship development. The conceptual framework of decision-making capability and evacuation behaviours was explored based on risk perception, level of emergency knowledge, survivability and emotion, and their relationship with the partial least squares equation was constructed. A predictive model of evacuation efficiency and its differential equations incorporating this relationship were also proposed based on the epidemic model. By developing and testing the conceptual framework and model, theoretical support is provided for evacuation behaviour, while assisting emergency management in developing plans and measures to respond to emergencies on metro platforms. This study realises the possibility of predicting evacuation efficiency from a decision-making capability perspective. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T00:51:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a7c6900e5c9649cb9ea5405a1cccbe32 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2076-3417 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T00:51:12Z |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Applied Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-a7c6900e5c9649cb9ea5405a1cccbe322023-11-23T14:51:19ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-09-011218899210.3390/app12188992The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making CapabilityZhizhe Zheng0Zhichao Zhou1Yilin Wang2Yikun Su3School of Civil Engineering, Northeast Forestry University, 26 He Xing Road, Harbin 150040, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Northeast Forestry University, 26 He Xing Road, Harbin 150040, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Northeast Forestry University, 26 He Xing Road, Harbin 150040, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Northeast Forestry University, 26 He Xing Road, Harbin 150040, ChinaIn the research, decision-making capabilities are explored in relation to the prediction of evacuation efficiency to improve forecast accuracy on metro platforms. For this purpose, this study reviewed theories related to evacuation behaviours utilising the anomaly-seeking approach and the paradigm of relationship development. The conceptual framework of decision-making capability and evacuation behaviours was explored based on risk perception, level of emergency knowledge, survivability and emotion, and their relationship with the partial least squares equation was constructed. A predictive model of evacuation efficiency and its differential equations incorporating this relationship were also proposed based on the epidemic model. By developing and testing the conceptual framework and model, theoretical support is provided for evacuation behaviour, while assisting emergency management in developing plans and measures to respond to emergencies on metro platforms. This study realises the possibility of predicting evacuation efficiency from a decision-making capability perspective.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/18/8992decision-making capabilityevacuation behavioursmetro evacuationevacuation efficiencyprediction |
| spellingShingle | Zhizhe Zheng Zhichao Zhou Yilin Wang Yikun Su The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability Applied Sciences decision-making capability evacuation behaviours metro evacuation evacuation efficiency prediction |
| title | The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability |
| title_full | The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability |
| title_fullStr | The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability |
| title_short | The Prediction of Evacuation Efficiency on Metro Platforms Based on Passengers’ Decision-Making Capability |
| title_sort | prediction of evacuation efficiency on metro platforms based on passengers decision making capability |
| topic | decision-making capability evacuation behaviours metro evacuation evacuation efficiency prediction |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/18/8992 |
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