A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia

This article analyzes the impact of global oil prices on Russia's economic growth and its growth rate in terms of output. It also reviews the mechanics of the long-term and short-term impacts on output resulting from changes in oil prices. The authors argue that the effect of oil prices on outp...

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Main Authors: Georgy Idrisov, Maria Kazakova, Andrey Polbin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Voprosy Ekonomiki 2015-09-01
Series:Russian Journal of Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405473915000367
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author Georgy Idrisov
Maria Kazakova
Andrey Polbin
author_facet Georgy Idrisov
Maria Kazakova
Andrey Polbin
author_sort Georgy Idrisov
collection DOAJ
description This article analyzes the impact of global oil prices on Russia's economic growth and its growth rate in terms of output. It also reviews the mechanics of the long-term and short-term impacts on output resulting from changes in oil prices. The authors argue that the effect of oil prices on output has decreased dramatically under current economic conditions ever since the period of recovery growth in the early 2000s. The main conclusion of the paper is that, on the basis of classical models, a constant increase in oil prices cannot influence the long-term economic growth rate and only predetermines short-term transitional trends from one long-term equilibrium to another.
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spelling doaj.art-a7ffda215fc34604badbb0368e8e0be52022-12-22T00:48:24ZengVoprosy EkonomikiRussian Journal of Economics2405-47392015-09-011325727210.1016/j.ruje.2015.12.004A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary RussiaGeorgy Idrisov0Maria Kazakova1Andrey Polbin2Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, RussiaRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, RussiaRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, RussiaThis article analyzes the impact of global oil prices on Russia's economic growth and its growth rate in terms of output. It also reviews the mechanics of the long-term and short-term impacts on output resulting from changes in oil prices. The authors argue that the effect of oil prices on output has decreased dramatically under current economic conditions ever since the period of recovery growth in the early 2000s. The main conclusion of the paper is that, on the basis of classical models, a constant increase in oil prices cannot influence the long-term economic growth rate and only predetermines short-term transitional trends from one long-term equilibrium to another.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405473915000367oil priceseconomic growthsmall open economy
spellingShingle Georgy Idrisov
Maria Kazakova
Andrey Polbin
A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia
Russian Journal of Economics
oil prices
economic growth
small open economy
title A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia
title_full A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia
title_fullStr A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia
title_full_unstemmed A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia
title_short A theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary Russia
title_sort theoretical interpretation of the oil prices impact on economic growth in contemporary russia
topic oil prices
economic growth
small open economy
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405473915000367
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AT mariakazakova theoreticalinterpretationoftheoilpricesimpactoneconomicgrowthincontemporaryrussia
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