Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019

Purpose The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues. It has been reported that patients with bacterial coinfection have a higher mortality rate than patients without coinfection. However, there are no clear standard guidelines for the use of antibacterial drugs. Therefore, the purpose...

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Main Authors: Sungho Lee, Jung Mo Lee, Taeyang Choi, Kwanhoon Park, Kang Yoon Lee, Ji young Jang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Korean Society of Acute Care Surgery 2022-07-01
Series:Journal of Acute Care Surgery
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.jacs.or.kr/upload/pdf/jacs-2022-12-2-53.pdf
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author Sungho Lee
Jung Mo Lee
Taeyang Choi
Kwanhoon Park
Kang Yoon Lee
Ji young Jang
author_facet Sungho Lee
Jung Mo Lee
Taeyang Choi
Kwanhoon Park
Kang Yoon Lee
Ji young Jang
author_sort Sungho Lee
collection DOAJ
description Purpose The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues. It has been reported that patients with bacterial coinfection have a higher mortality rate than patients without coinfection. However, there are no clear standard guidelines for the use of antibacterial drugs. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the usefulness of procalcitonin, a specific indicator of bacterial infection, as a biomarker for predicting death in COVID-19 patients. Methods This was a retrospective study of confirmed COVID-19 patients (N = 283) between December 2020 and February 2021 who survived or died. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine whether there was an association between the level of procalcitonin and death. In addition, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine the usefulness of procalcitonin as a predictor of death. Results In the non-survivor group, age, the number of patients transferred from a health care center, segment neutrophil ratio, C reactive protein, ferritin, and procalcitonin were significantly higher in the survivor group. In multivariate analysis, procalcitonin was identified as an independent factor associated with death (hazard ratio 6.162, confidential interval 2.285–26.322, p = 0.014). In addition, the predictive power of procalcitonin level and mortality was statistically significant using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis which gave an area under the curve value of 0.823, a cut-off value of 0.05, a sensitivity of 72.2%, a specificity of 87.5% (p < 0.001). Conclusion Measurement of procalcitonin and other biomarkers may be useful to determine whether to use or discontinue use of antibacterial drugs in patients with COVID-19.
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spelling doaj.art-a8251364196d4a679cff152c8c8728172023-09-19T00:02:59ZengKorean Society of Acute Care SurgeryJournal of Acute Care Surgery2288-58622288-95822022-07-01122536210.17479/jacs.2022.12.2.53242Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019Sungho Lee0Jung Mo Lee1Taeyang Choi2Kwanhoon Park3Kang Yoon Lee4Ji young Jang5Department of COVID-19 Management, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, KoreaDepartment of COVID-19 Management, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, KoreaDepartment of COVID-19 Management, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, KoreaDepartment of COVID-19 Management, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, KoreaDepartment of COVID-19 Management, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, KoreaDepartment of COVID-19 Management, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang, KoreaPurpose The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues. It has been reported that patients with bacterial coinfection have a higher mortality rate than patients without coinfection. However, there are no clear standard guidelines for the use of antibacterial drugs. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the usefulness of procalcitonin, a specific indicator of bacterial infection, as a biomarker for predicting death in COVID-19 patients. Methods This was a retrospective study of confirmed COVID-19 patients (N = 283) between December 2020 and February 2021 who survived or died. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine whether there was an association between the level of procalcitonin and death. In addition, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine the usefulness of procalcitonin as a predictor of death. Results In the non-survivor group, age, the number of patients transferred from a health care center, segment neutrophil ratio, C reactive protein, ferritin, and procalcitonin were significantly higher in the survivor group. In multivariate analysis, procalcitonin was identified as an independent factor associated with death (hazard ratio 6.162, confidential interval 2.285–26.322, p = 0.014). In addition, the predictive power of procalcitonin level and mortality was statistically significant using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis which gave an area under the curve value of 0.823, a cut-off value of 0.05, a sensitivity of 72.2%, a specificity of 87.5% (p < 0.001). Conclusion Measurement of procalcitonin and other biomarkers may be useful to determine whether to use or discontinue use of antibacterial drugs in patients with COVID-19.http://www.jacs.or.kr/upload/pdf/jacs-2022-12-2-53.pdfcoinfectioncoronaviruscovid-19procalcitonin
spellingShingle Sungho Lee
Jung Mo Lee
Taeyang Choi
Kwanhoon Park
Kang Yoon Lee
Ji young Jang
Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
Journal of Acute Care Surgery
coinfection
coronavirus
covid-19
procalcitonin
title Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
title_full Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
title_fullStr Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
title_full_unstemmed Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
title_short Procalcitonin as a Predictive Factor for the Clinical Outcome of Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019
title_sort procalcitonin as a predictive factor for the clinical outcome of patients with coronavirus disease 2019
topic coinfection
coronavirus
covid-19
procalcitonin
url http://www.jacs.or.kr/upload/pdf/jacs-2022-12-2-53.pdf
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