Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards

Impact-based, seasonal mapping of compound hazards is proposed. It is pragmatic, identifies phenomena to drive the research agenda, produces outputs relevant to stakeholders, and could be applied to many hazards globally. Illustratively, flooding and wind damage can co-occur, worsening their joint i...

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Main Authors: J K Hillier, R S Dixon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc3d
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author J K Hillier
R S Dixon
author_facet J K Hillier
R S Dixon
author_sort J K Hillier
collection DOAJ
description Impact-based, seasonal mapping of compound hazards is proposed. It is pragmatic, identifies phenomena to drive the research agenda, produces outputs relevant to stakeholders, and could be applied to many hazards globally. Illustratively, flooding and wind damage can co-occur, worsening their joint impact, yet where wet and windy seasons combine has not yet been systematically mapped. Here, seasonal impact-based proxies for wintertime flooding and extreme wind are used to map, at 1° × 1° resolution, the association between these hazards across Europe within 600 years as realized in seasonal hindcast data. Paired areas of enhanced-suppressed correlation are identified (Scotland, Norway), and are shown to be created by orographically-enhanced rainfall (or shelter) from prevailing westerly storms. As the hazard metrics used are calibrated to losses, the maps are indicative of the potential for damage.
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spelling doaj.art-a828dd6bde2041488719240300ef050e2023-08-09T14:57:27ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-01151111401310.1088/1748-9326/abbc3dSeasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazardsJ K Hillier0R S Dixon1Geography, Loughborough University , LE11 3TU, United KingdomDepartment of Meteorology, University of Reading , RG6 6BG, United KingdomImpact-based, seasonal mapping of compound hazards is proposed. It is pragmatic, identifies phenomena to drive the research agenda, produces outputs relevant to stakeholders, and could be applied to many hazards globally. Illustratively, flooding and wind damage can co-occur, worsening their joint impact, yet where wet and windy seasons combine has not yet been systematically mapped. Here, seasonal impact-based proxies for wintertime flooding and extreme wind are used to map, at 1° × 1° resolution, the association between these hazards across Europe within 600 years as realized in seasonal hindcast data. Paired areas of enhanced-suppressed correlation are identified (Scotland, Norway), and are shown to be created by orographically-enhanced rainfall (or shelter) from prevailing westerly storms. As the hazard metrics used are calibrated to losses, the maps are indicative of the potential for damage.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc3dcompound hazardprecipitationextreme windextratropical cyclonestormflooding
spellingShingle J K Hillier
R S Dixon
Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards
Environmental Research Letters
compound hazard
precipitation
extreme wind
extratropical cyclone
storm
flooding
title Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards
title_full Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards
title_fullStr Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards
title_full_unstemmed Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards
title_short Seasonal impact-based mapping of compound hazards
title_sort seasonal impact based mapping of compound hazards
topic compound hazard
precipitation
extreme wind
extratropical cyclone
storm
flooding
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbc3d
work_keys_str_mv AT jkhillier seasonalimpactbasedmappingofcompoundhazards
AT rsdixon seasonalimpactbasedmappingofcompoundhazards