Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand

The main purpose of this paper was to investigate the monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfall variability in the Mae Klong River Basin in Thailand using the Mann–Kendall (MK) test, Sen's slope method, Spearman's Rho (SR) test, and the innovative trend analysis (ITA) method. The monthly rain...

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Main Author: Alamgir Khalil
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Water and Climate Change
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/14/12/4642
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author Alamgir Khalil
author_facet Alamgir Khalil
author_sort Alamgir Khalil
collection DOAJ
description The main purpose of this paper was to investigate the monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfall variability in the Mae Klong River Basin in Thailand using the Mann–Kendall (MK) test, Sen's slope method, Spearman's Rho (SR) test, and the innovative trend analysis (ITA) method. The monthly rainfall data of eight stations for the period 1971–2015 were used for trend analysis. Datasets with significant serial correlation were corrected by the trend-free pre-whitening (TFPW) approach for statistical methods. The MK test showed increasing rainfall trends for five out of eight stations in the dry season while 50% of stations indicated increasing trends in the wet season. On an annual scale, 75% of the stations exhibited increasing rainfall trends. The results of the SR test were in line with the MK test for seasonal and annual rainfall. The ITA method showed comparable findings with those of the statistical methods. For the entire basin, trend analysis found increasing rainfall on both seasonal and annual scales by all the tests. The findings of this study could benefit water supply and management, drought monitoring, agricultural production activities, and socioeconomic development in the Mae Klong River Basin in the future. HIGHLIGHTS Statistical methods and graphical methods for rainfall trends are compared.; Datasets with significant serial correlation were corrected by the trend-free pre-whitening (TFPW) approach for statistical methods.; The results of Spearman's Rho test were in line with the Mann–Kendall test for seasonal and annual rainfall.; The innovative trend analysis method showed comparable findings with those of the statistical methods.;
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spelling doaj.art-a8298ead94e4463e820a511a28e931f42024-04-17T08:41:19ZengIWA PublishingJournal of Water and Climate Change2040-22442408-93542023-12-0114124642466810.2166/wcc.2023.552552Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, ThailandAlamgir Khalil0 Department of Civil Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Peshawar 25120, Pakistan The main purpose of this paper was to investigate the monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfall variability in the Mae Klong River Basin in Thailand using the Mann–Kendall (MK) test, Sen's slope method, Spearman's Rho (SR) test, and the innovative trend analysis (ITA) method. The monthly rainfall data of eight stations for the period 1971–2015 were used for trend analysis. Datasets with significant serial correlation were corrected by the trend-free pre-whitening (TFPW) approach for statistical methods. The MK test showed increasing rainfall trends for five out of eight stations in the dry season while 50% of stations indicated increasing trends in the wet season. On an annual scale, 75% of the stations exhibited increasing rainfall trends. The results of the SR test were in line with the MK test for seasonal and annual rainfall. The ITA method showed comparable findings with those of the statistical methods. For the entire basin, trend analysis found increasing rainfall on both seasonal and annual scales by all the tests. The findings of this study could benefit water supply and management, drought monitoring, agricultural production activities, and socioeconomic development in the Mae Klong River Basin in the future. HIGHLIGHTS Statistical methods and graphical methods for rainfall trends are compared.; Datasets with significant serial correlation were corrected by the trend-free pre-whitening (TFPW) approach for statistical methods.; The results of Spearman's Rho test were in line with the Mann–Kendall test for seasonal and annual rainfall.; The innovative trend analysis method showed comparable findings with those of the statistical methods.;http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/14/12/4642innovative trend analysismae klong river basinmann–kendall testrainfall trendssen's slope testspearman's rho test
spellingShingle Alamgir Khalil
Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand
Journal of Water and Climate Change
innovative trend analysis
mae klong river basin
mann–kendall test
rainfall trends
sen's slope test
spearman's rho test
title Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand
title_full Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand
title_fullStr Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand
title_full_unstemmed Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand
title_short Combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the Mae Klong River Basin, Thailand
title_sort combined use of graphical and statistical approaches for rainfall trend analysis in the mae klong river basin thailand
topic innovative trend analysis
mae klong river basin
mann–kendall test
rainfall trends
sen's slope test
spearman's rho test
url http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/14/12/4642
work_keys_str_mv AT alamgirkhalil combineduseofgraphicalandstatisticalapproachesforrainfalltrendanalysisinthemaeklongriverbasinthailand