Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables

Spring greening in boreal forest ecosystems has been widely linked to increasing temperature, but few studies have attempted to unravel the relative effects of climate variables such as maximum temperature (TMX), minimum temperature (TMN), mean temperature (TMP), precipitation (PRE) and radiation (R...

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Main Authors: Meiting Hou, Ari K. Venäläinen, Linping Wang, Pentti Pirinen, I, Yao Gao, Shaofei Jin, Yuxiang Zhu, Fuying Qin, Yonghong Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-10-01
Series:International Journal of Applied Earth Observations and Geoinformation
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0303243420300301
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author Meiting Hou
Ari K. Venäläinen
Linping Wang
Pentti Pirinen, I
Yao Gao
Shaofei Jin
Yuxiang Zhu
Fuying Qin
Yonghong Hu
author_facet Meiting Hou
Ari K. Venäläinen
Linping Wang
Pentti Pirinen, I
Yao Gao
Shaofei Jin
Yuxiang Zhu
Fuying Qin
Yonghong Hu
author_sort Meiting Hou
collection DOAJ
description Spring greening in boreal forest ecosystems has been widely linked to increasing temperature, but few studies have attempted to unravel the relative effects of climate variables such as maximum temperature (TMX), minimum temperature (TMN), mean temperature (TMP), precipitation (PRE) and radiation (RAD) on vegetation growth at different stages of growing season. However, clarifying these effects is fundamental to better understand the relationship between vegetation and climate change. This study investigated spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables using the plant phenology index (PPI) calculated based on the latest Collection V006 MODIS BRDF-corrected surface reflectance products (MCD43C4) from 2002 to 2018, and identified the dominant climate variables controlling vegetation change during the growing season (May–September) on a monthly basis. Partial least squares (PLS) regression was used to quantify the response of PPI to climate variables and distinguish the separate impacts of different variables. The study results show the dominant effects of temperature on the PPI in May and June, with TMX, TMN and TMP being the most important explanatory variables for the variation of PPI depending on the location, respectively. Meanwhile, drought had an unexpectedly positive impact on vegetation in few areas. More than 50 % of the variation of PPI could be explained by climate variables for 68.5 % of the entire forest area in May and 87.7 % in June, respectively. During July to September, the PPI variance explained by climate and corresponding spatial extent rapidly decreased. Nevertheless, the RAD was found be the most important explanatory variable to July PPI in some areas. In contrast, the PPI in August and September was insensitive to climate in almost all of the regions studied. Our study gives useful insights on quantifying and identifying the relative importance of climate variables to boreal forest, which can be used to predict the possible response of forest under future warming.
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spelling doaj.art-a85271558f944670a8c9f03e3d602b182022-12-22T00:21:10ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Applied Earth Observations and Geoinformation1569-84322020-10-0192102186Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variablesMeiting Hou0Ari K. Venäläinen1Linping Wang2Pentti Pirinen, I3Yao Gao4Shaofei Jin5Yuxiang Zhu6Fuying Qin7Yonghong Hu8China Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing 100081, China; Corresponding authors at: No. 46, Zhongguancun Nandajie, Haidian District, China.Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, FI-00101, FinlandDepartment of Agricultural Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FI-00014, FinlandFinnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, FI-00101, FinlandFinnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, FI-00101, FinlandDepartment of Geography, MinJiang University, Fuzhou, 350108, ChinaChina Meteorological Administration Training Centre, Beijing 100081, China; Corresponding authors at: No. 46, Zhongguancun Nandajie, Haidian District, China.College of Geographical Science, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot, 010022, ChinaKey Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100094, ChinaSpring greening in boreal forest ecosystems has been widely linked to increasing temperature, but few studies have attempted to unravel the relative effects of climate variables such as maximum temperature (TMX), minimum temperature (TMN), mean temperature (TMP), precipitation (PRE) and radiation (RAD) on vegetation growth at different stages of growing season. However, clarifying these effects is fundamental to better understand the relationship between vegetation and climate change. This study investigated spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables using the plant phenology index (PPI) calculated based on the latest Collection V006 MODIS BRDF-corrected surface reflectance products (MCD43C4) from 2002 to 2018, and identified the dominant climate variables controlling vegetation change during the growing season (May–September) on a monthly basis. Partial least squares (PLS) regression was used to quantify the response of PPI to climate variables and distinguish the separate impacts of different variables. The study results show the dominant effects of temperature on the PPI in May and June, with TMX, TMN and TMP being the most important explanatory variables for the variation of PPI depending on the location, respectively. Meanwhile, drought had an unexpectedly positive impact on vegetation in few areas. More than 50 % of the variation of PPI could be explained by climate variables for 68.5 % of the entire forest area in May and 87.7 % in June, respectively. During July to September, the PPI variance explained by climate and corresponding spatial extent rapidly decreased. Nevertheless, the RAD was found be the most important explanatory variable to July PPI in some areas. In contrast, the PPI in August and September was insensitive to climate in almost all of the regions studied. Our study gives useful insights on quantifying and identifying the relative importance of climate variables to boreal forest, which can be used to predict the possible response of forest under future warming.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0303243420300301Monthly differencePlant phenology index (PPI)Partial least squares (PLS) regressionBoreal forestsClimate variables
spellingShingle Meiting Hou
Ari K. Venäläinen
Linping Wang
Pentti Pirinen, I
Yao Gao
Shaofei Jin
Yuxiang Zhu
Fuying Qin
Yonghong Hu
Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables
International Journal of Applied Earth Observations and Geoinformation
Monthly difference
Plant phenology index (PPI)
Partial least squares (PLS) regression
Boreal forests
Climate variables
title Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables
title_full Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables
title_fullStr Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables
title_full_unstemmed Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables
title_short Spatio-temporal divergence in the responses of Finland’s boreal forests to climate variables
title_sort spatio temporal divergence in the responses of finland s boreal forests to climate variables
topic Monthly difference
Plant phenology index (PPI)
Partial least squares (PLS) regression
Boreal forests
Climate variables
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0303243420300301
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