Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation

By analyzing and predicting the traffic states of urban road network, the formation of traffic congestion can be effectively alleviated, so as to improve the traffic capacity of urban road network. In this paper, firstly, we analyze and study the spatio-temporal correlation characteristics of traffi...

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Main Authors: Zhi Chen, Yuan Jiang, Dehui Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2020-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8931597/
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author Zhi Chen
Yuan Jiang
Dehui Sun
author_facet Zhi Chen
Yuan Jiang
Dehui Sun
author_sort Zhi Chen
collection DOAJ
description By analyzing and predicting the traffic states of urban road network, the formation of traffic congestion can be effectively alleviated, so as to improve the traffic capacity of urban road network. In this paper, firstly, we analyze and study the spatio-temporal correlation characteristics of traffic states based on the existing floating car data. At the same time, we extend the traffic conditions of urban road network from the upstream and downstream interaction to the global road network and complete the traffic congestion states discrimination of urban road network based on the spatio-temporal correlation. Secondly, according to the traffic jam aggregation and diffusion characteristics of local Moran's I, a mixed forest prediction method considering the spatio-temporal correlation characteristics of urban road traffic state is constructed by improving the existing random forest algorithm. Finally, an example is given to verify the effect of the prediction method on the short-term prediction of urban road network traffic states.
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spelling doaj.art-a85db708633242f98e0b6a6c6de751a32022-12-21T22:56:51ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362020-01-0183330334210.1109/ACCESS.2019.29591258931597Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal CorrelationZhi Chen0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5945-5980Yuan Jiang1Dehui Sun2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1362-1271Beijing Key Lab of Urban Intelligent Traffic Control Technology, North China University of Technology, Beijing, ChinaBeijing Key Lab of Urban Intelligent Traffic Control Technology, North China University of Technology, Beijing, ChinaBeijing Key Lab of Urban Intelligent Traffic Control Technology, North China University of Technology, Beijing, ChinaBy analyzing and predicting the traffic states of urban road network, the formation of traffic congestion can be effectively alleviated, so as to improve the traffic capacity of urban road network. In this paper, firstly, we analyze and study the spatio-temporal correlation characteristics of traffic states based on the existing floating car data. At the same time, we extend the traffic conditions of urban road network from the upstream and downstream interaction to the global road network and complete the traffic congestion states discrimination of urban road network based on the spatio-temporal correlation. Secondly, according to the traffic jam aggregation and diffusion characteristics of local Moran's I, a mixed forest prediction method considering the spatio-temporal correlation characteristics of urban road traffic state is constructed by improving the existing random forest algorithm. Finally, an example is given to verify the effect of the prediction method on the short-term prediction of urban road network traffic states.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8931597/Traffic congestionspatio-temporal correlationlocal Moran’s Ishort-term prediction
spellingShingle Zhi Chen
Yuan Jiang
Dehui Sun
Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation
IEEE Access
Traffic congestion
spatio-temporal correlation
local Moran’s I
short-term prediction
title Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation
title_full Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation
title_fullStr Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation
title_full_unstemmed Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation
title_short Discrimination and Prediction of Traffic Congestion States of Urban Road Network Based on Spatio-Temporal Correlation
title_sort discrimination and prediction of traffic congestion states of urban road network based on spatio temporal correlation
topic Traffic congestion
spatio-temporal correlation
local Moran’s I
short-term prediction
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8931597/
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AT yuanjiang discriminationandpredictionoftrafficcongestionstatesofurbanroadnetworkbasedonspatiotemporalcorrelation
AT dehuisun discriminationandpredictionoftrafficcongestionstatesofurbanroadnetworkbasedonspatiotemporalcorrelation