Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction

Prediction of the landslide development process is always a hot issue in landslide research. So far, many methods for landslide displacement series prediction have been proposed. The support vector machine (SVM) has been proved to be a novel algorithm with good performance. However, the performance...

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Main Authors: X. Z. Li, J. M. Kong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2014-03-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/14/525/2014/nhess-14-525-2014.pdf
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author X. Z. Li
J. M. Kong
author_facet X. Z. Li
J. M. Kong
author_sort X. Z. Li
collection DOAJ
description Prediction of the landslide development process is always a hot issue in landslide research. So far, many methods for landslide displacement series prediction have been proposed. The support vector machine (SVM) has been proved to be a novel algorithm with good performance. However, the performance strongly depends on the right selection of the parameters (<i>C</i> and γ) of the SVM model. In this study, we present an application of genetic algorithm and support vector machine (GA–SVM) method with parameter optimization in landslide displacement rate prediction. We selected a typical large-scale landslide in a hydro-electrical engineering area of southwest China as a case. On the basis of analyzing the basic characteristics and monitoring data of the landslide, a single-factor GA–SVM model and a multi-factor GA–SVM model of the landslide were built. Moreover, the models were compared with single-factor and multi-factor SVM models of the landslide. The results show that the four models have high prediction accuracies, but the accuracies of GA–SVM models are slightly higher than those of SVM models, and the accuracies of multi-factor models are slightly higher than those of single-factor models for the landslide prediction. The accuracy of the multi-factor GA–SVM models is the highest, with the smallest root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0009 and the highest relation index (RI) of 0.9992.
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spelling doaj.art-a8af529abed9471da172b74eca3f85582022-12-22T01:49:53ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812014-03-0114352553310.5194/nhess-14-525-2014Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development predictionX. Z. Li0J. M. Kong1Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 610041, Chengdu, ChinaKey Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 610041, Chengdu, ChinaPrediction of the landslide development process is always a hot issue in landslide research. So far, many methods for landslide displacement series prediction have been proposed. The support vector machine (SVM) has been proved to be a novel algorithm with good performance. However, the performance strongly depends on the right selection of the parameters (<i>C</i> and γ) of the SVM model. In this study, we present an application of genetic algorithm and support vector machine (GA–SVM) method with parameter optimization in landslide displacement rate prediction. We selected a typical large-scale landslide in a hydro-electrical engineering area of southwest China as a case. On the basis of analyzing the basic characteristics and monitoring data of the landslide, a single-factor GA–SVM model and a multi-factor GA–SVM model of the landslide were built. Moreover, the models were compared with single-factor and multi-factor SVM models of the landslide. The results show that the four models have high prediction accuracies, but the accuracies of GA–SVM models are slightly higher than those of SVM models, and the accuracies of multi-factor models are slightly higher than those of single-factor models for the landslide prediction. The accuracy of the multi-factor GA–SVM models is the highest, with the smallest root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0009 and the highest relation index (RI) of 0.9992.http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/14/525/2014/nhess-14-525-2014.pdf
spellingShingle X. Z. Li
J. M. Kong
Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
title Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
title_full Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
title_fullStr Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
title_full_unstemmed Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
title_short Application of GA–SVM method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
title_sort application of ga svm method with parameter optimization for landslide development prediction
url http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/14/525/2014/nhess-14-525-2014.pdf
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AT jmkong applicationofgasvmmethodwithparameteroptimizationforlandslidedevelopmentprediction