MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL
The purpose of this paper is to assess whether the national program on beef self sufficiency could be achieved at 2014. A dynamic system model with Vensim computer program is applied. The model validated by Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results shows high accuracies of the model. The assessmen...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Muhammadiyah University Press
2011-06-01
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| Series: | Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://journals.ums.ac.id/index.php/JEP/article/view/211 |
| _version_ | 1828202333837721600 |
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| author | Harmini Harmini Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka Juniar Atmakusuma |
| author_facet | Harmini Harmini Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka Juniar Atmakusuma |
| author_sort | Harmini Harmini |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The purpose of this paper is to assess whether the national program on beef self sufficiency could be achieved at 2014. A dynamic system model with Vensim computer program is applied. The model validated by Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results shows high accuracies of the model. The assessment show that, first, the beef self sufficiency would not be achieved at 2014 if the program are treated and running as usual (Scenario I). Second, the beef self sufficiency would be achieved at 2015 if government increase the cow population by reducing the slaughter of local cows and expanding the cross breeding program through artificial insemination (Scenario II). Third, the beef self sufficiency would not be achieved at 2014 if the actual beef consumption are higher than the supply that produce through Scenario II (Scenario III). Another innovative solution for increasing local cow population is needed. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T11:45:23Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a8da32a0228945a1848c066b3ee7c7f3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1411-6081 2460-9331 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T11:45:23Z |
| publishDate | 2011-06-01 |
| publisher | Muhammadiyah University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan |
| spelling | doaj.art-a8da32a0228945a1848c066b3ee7c7f32022-12-22T03:34:22ZengMuhammadiyah University PressJurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan1411-60812460-93312011-06-01121128146207MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONALHarmini Harmini0Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka1Juniar Atmakusuma2Departemen Agribisnis, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor Jalan Kamper Wing 2 Lantai 5, Kampus IPB Dramaga, Bogor-Indonesia 16680, Telepon: +62-251-626520Departemen Agribisnis, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor Jalan Kamper Wing 2 Lantai 5, Kampus IPB Dramaga, Bogor-Indonesia 16680, Telepon: +62-251-626520Departemen Agribisnis, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor Jalan Kamper Wing 2 Lantai 5, Kampus IPB Dramaga, Bogor-Indonesia 16680, Telepon: +62-251-626520The purpose of this paper is to assess whether the national program on beef self sufficiency could be achieved at 2014. A dynamic system model with Vensim computer program is applied. The model validated by Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The results shows high accuracies of the model. The assessment show that, first, the beef self sufficiency would not be achieved at 2014 if the program are treated and running as usual (Scenario I). Second, the beef self sufficiency would be achieved at 2015 if government increase the cow population by reducing the slaughter of local cows and expanding the cross breeding program through artificial insemination (Scenario II). Third, the beef self sufficiency would not be achieved at 2014 if the actual beef consumption are higher than the supply that produce through Scenario II (Scenario III). Another innovative solution for increasing local cow population is needed.http://journals.ums.ac.id/index.php/JEP/article/view/211dynamic modelbeef self sufficiencybeef productionbeef consumption |
| spellingShingle | Harmini Harmini Ratna Winandi Asmarantaka Juniar Atmakusuma MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan dynamic model beef self sufficiency beef production beef consumption |
| title | MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL |
| title_full | MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL |
| title_fullStr | MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL |
| title_full_unstemmed | MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL |
| title_short | MODEL DINAMIS SISTEM KETERSEDIAAN DAGING SAPI NASIONAL |
| title_sort | model dinamis sistem ketersediaan daging sapi nasional |
| topic | dynamic model beef self sufficiency beef production beef consumption |
| url | http://journals.ums.ac.id/index.php/JEP/article/view/211 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT harminiharmini modeldinamissistemketersediaandagingsapinasional AT ratnawinandiasmarantaka modeldinamissistemketersediaandagingsapinasional AT juniaratmakusuma modeldinamissistemketersediaandagingsapinasional |