EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN

The purpose of present study is to empirically analyze the impact of climate change on three major agricultural crops of Punjab, Pakistan. A variant of Cobb-Douglas production function is applied on the panel of districts of Punjab covering period from 1982 to 2014. It is observed that temperatur...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Afzal, Gulzar Ahmed, Muhammad Nadeem Javaid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics 2017-04-01
Series:International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol5.No2.pp59.pdf
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author Muhammad Afzal
Gulzar Ahmed
Muhammad Nadeem Javaid
author_facet Muhammad Afzal
Gulzar Ahmed
Muhammad Nadeem Javaid
author_sort Muhammad Afzal
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of present study is to empirically analyze the impact of climate change on three major agricultural crops of Punjab, Pakistan. A variant of Cobb-Douglas production function is applied on the panel of districts of Punjab covering period from 1982 to 2014. It is observed that temperature; rainfall and Humidity have different effects on agricultural crops at different stages of production. This study analyzes the impact of climate change at three different stages of production such as; planting, flowering and harvesting. Overall findings of the study reveal that area and fertilizer have positive effect on all three crops at each stage. Temperature has positive impact on wheat production during the planting and harvesting stage. However, temperature negatively affects the production of wheat during the flowering stage. Rainfall has negative association with the production of wheat during all three stages. Further, results indicate that rainfall, minimum temperature and humidity positively affect the production of rice crop during planting and negatively affect during harvesting. On the basis of empirical analysis, this study suggests that Government should develop new varieties of seeds and allocation of more resources should be encouraged to provide the security against the problems of climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-a933e24c2bbb4481b0f9b37aba9a4ad82023-02-15T16:18:41ZengInternational Journal of Food and Agricultural EconomicsInternational Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics2147-89882147-89882017-04-01525968EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTANMuhammad Afzal0Gulzar Ahmed1Muhammad Nadeem Javaid2Forman Christian College, Department of Economics, PakistanMinistry of Planning Development and Reform, PakistanMinistry of Planning Development and Reform, PakistanThe purpose of present study is to empirically analyze the impact of climate change on three major agricultural crops of Punjab, Pakistan. A variant of Cobb-Douglas production function is applied on the panel of districts of Punjab covering period from 1982 to 2014. It is observed that temperature; rainfall and Humidity have different effects on agricultural crops at different stages of production. This study analyzes the impact of climate change at three different stages of production such as; planting, flowering and harvesting. Overall findings of the study reveal that area and fertilizer have positive effect on all three crops at each stage. Temperature has positive impact on wheat production during the planting and harvesting stage. However, temperature negatively affects the production of wheat during the flowering stage. Rainfall has negative association with the production of wheat during all three stages. Further, results indicate that rainfall, minimum temperature and humidity positively affect the production of rice crop during planting and negatively affect during harvesting. On the basis of empirical analysis, this study suggests that Government should develop new varieties of seeds and allocation of more resources should be encouraged to provide the security against the problems of climate change.http://foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol5.No2.pp59.pdfClimateAgriculture and EnviornmentAgricultural policy
spellingShingle Muhammad Afzal
Gulzar Ahmed
Muhammad Nadeem Javaid
EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN
International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
Climate
Agriculture and Enviornment
Agricultural policy
title EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN
title_full EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN
title_fullStr EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN
title_full_unstemmed EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN
title_short EMPIRICAL ASESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON AGRICULTURAL CROPS: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS IN PAKISTAN
title_sort empirical asessment of climate change on agricultural crops panel data analysis in pakistan
topic Climate
Agriculture and Enviornment
Agricultural policy
url http://foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol5.No2.pp59.pdf
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AT gulzarahmed empiricalasessmentofclimatechangeonagriculturalcropspaneldataanalysisinpakistan
AT muhammadnadeemjavaid empiricalasessmentofclimatechangeonagriculturalcropspaneldataanalysisinpakistan