Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study

Abstract Background Abdominal aortic calcification assessed by X-ray is recommended to evaluate vascular calcification in dialysis patients. It has been shown that abdominal aortic calcification score (AACS) is a predictor of adverse outcomes in hemodialysis patients, but evidence regarding its prog...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Dahua Ma, Hao Yan, Xiaoxiao Yang, Zanzhe Yu, Zhaohui Ni, Wei Fang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-04-01
Series:BMC Nephrology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12882-020-01822-9
_version_ 1811214889007448064
author Dahua Ma
Hao Yan
Xiaoxiao Yang
Zanzhe Yu
Zhaohui Ni
Wei Fang
author_facet Dahua Ma
Hao Yan
Xiaoxiao Yang
Zanzhe Yu
Zhaohui Ni
Wei Fang
author_sort Dahua Ma
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Abdominal aortic calcification assessed by X-ray is recommended to evaluate vascular calcification in dialysis patients. It has been shown that abdominal aortic calcification score (AACS) is a predictor of adverse outcomes in hemodialysis patients, but evidence regarding its prognostic value in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients is still insufficient. We aimed to examine the predictive role of AACS for major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and mortality in PD patients. Methods Eligible patients undergoing PD between July 2011 and July 2014 were recruited. AACS was quantified using lateral lumbar radiography at recruitment. Patients were prospectively followed up until death, PD cessation, or to the end of the study (August 31, 2018). Both subdistribution hazards and cause-specific hazards models were used to evaluate the association between AACS and MACCE as well as mortality. Results 292 patients were enrolled, including 160 males (54.8%) with mean age 57.1 ± 15.2 years and median PD duration 28.4 (IQR 12.0, 57.8) months. Among them, 75 (25.7%) patients were comorbid with diabetes, and 94 (32.2%) patients had cardiovascular disease (CVD). The average AACS was 2.0 (0.0, 6.0). Patients were categorized on the tertiles of AACS (Low AACS group, AACS = 0, n = 125; Medium AACS group, AACS 1–4, n = 72; and High AACS group, AACS> 4, n = 95). AACS was associated with age (OR = 1.081, P < 0.001), PD duration (OR = 1.012, P = 0.003), CVD (OR = 1.919, P = 0.020) and diabetes (OR = 2.554, P = 0.002). During the follow-up period of 43.6 (24.6, 50.7) months, there were 65 MACCEs and 84 deaths. Significantly higher cumulative incidences of all-cause mortality (Log-rank = 35.992, P<0.001; Gray = 38.662, P < 0.001) and MACCE (Log-rank = 26.146, P<0.001; Gray = 27.810, P < 0.001) were observed in the upper AACS tertile. AACS was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.438, 95% CI 1.246–4.772, P = 0.009; SHR = 2.323, 95%CI 1.229–4.389, P = 0.009) and MACCE (HR = 3.455, 95% CI 1.734–6.884, P < 0.001; SHR = 3.063, 95%CI 1.460–6.430, P = 0.003) in this study. Conclusions AACS was associated with age, PD duration, CVD and diabetes in PD patients. AACS could predict MACCE and all-cause mortality in this population. It thus might be a safe and feasible method to identify PD patients with adverse outcomes.
first_indexed 2024-04-12T06:13:03Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a95ae66cb21d4fc0b81b0141ee5affd2
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1471-2369
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-12T06:13:03Z
publishDate 2020-04-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Nephrology
spelling doaj.art-a95ae66cb21d4fc0b81b0141ee5affd22022-12-22T03:44:39ZengBMCBMC Nephrology1471-23692020-04-0121111010.1186/s12882-020-01822-9Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort studyDahua Ma0Hao Yan1Xiaoxiao Yang2Zanzhe Yu3Zhaohui Ni4Wei Fang5Department of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityDepartment of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityDepartment of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityDepartment of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityDepartment of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityDepartment of Nephrology, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityAbstract Background Abdominal aortic calcification assessed by X-ray is recommended to evaluate vascular calcification in dialysis patients. It has been shown that abdominal aortic calcification score (AACS) is a predictor of adverse outcomes in hemodialysis patients, but evidence regarding its prognostic value in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients is still insufficient. We aimed to examine the predictive role of AACS for major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and mortality in PD patients. Methods Eligible patients undergoing PD between July 2011 and July 2014 were recruited. AACS was quantified using lateral lumbar radiography at recruitment. Patients were prospectively followed up until death, PD cessation, or to the end of the study (August 31, 2018). Both subdistribution hazards and cause-specific hazards models were used to evaluate the association between AACS and MACCE as well as mortality. Results 292 patients were enrolled, including 160 males (54.8%) with mean age 57.1 ± 15.2 years and median PD duration 28.4 (IQR 12.0, 57.8) months. Among them, 75 (25.7%) patients were comorbid with diabetes, and 94 (32.2%) patients had cardiovascular disease (CVD). The average AACS was 2.0 (0.0, 6.0). Patients were categorized on the tertiles of AACS (Low AACS group, AACS = 0, n = 125; Medium AACS group, AACS 1–4, n = 72; and High AACS group, AACS> 4, n = 95). AACS was associated with age (OR = 1.081, P < 0.001), PD duration (OR = 1.012, P = 0.003), CVD (OR = 1.919, P = 0.020) and diabetes (OR = 2.554, P = 0.002). During the follow-up period of 43.6 (24.6, 50.7) months, there were 65 MACCEs and 84 deaths. Significantly higher cumulative incidences of all-cause mortality (Log-rank = 35.992, P<0.001; Gray = 38.662, P < 0.001) and MACCE (Log-rank = 26.146, P<0.001; Gray = 27.810, P < 0.001) were observed in the upper AACS tertile. AACS was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.438, 95% CI 1.246–4.772, P = 0.009; SHR = 2.323, 95%CI 1.229–4.389, P = 0.009) and MACCE (HR = 3.455, 95% CI 1.734–6.884, P < 0.001; SHR = 3.063, 95%CI 1.460–6.430, P = 0.003) in this study. Conclusions AACS was associated with age, PD duration, CVD and diabetes in PD patients. AACS could predict MACCE and all-cause mortality in this population. It thus might be a safe and feasible method to identify PD patients with adverse outcomes.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12882-020-01822-9Abdominal aortic calcification scoreMajor adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular eventsAll-cause mortalityPeritoneal dialysis
spellingShingle Dahua Ma
Hao Yan
Xiaoxiao Yang
Zanzhe Yu
Zhaohui Ni
Wei Fang
Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study
BMC Nephrology
Abdominal aortic calcification score
Major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events
All-cause mortality
Peritoneal dialysis
title Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study
title_full Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study
title_short Abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients: a prospective cohort study
title_sort abdominal aortic calcification score as a predictor of clinical outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients a prospective cohort study
topic Abdominal aortic calcification score
Major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events
All-cause mortality
Peritoneal dialysis
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12882-020-01822-9
work_keys_str_mv AT dahuama abdominalaorticcalcificationscoreasapredictorofclinicaloutcomeinperitonealdialysispatientsaprospectivecohortstudy
AT haoyan abdominalaorticcalcificationscoreasapredictorofclinicaloutcomeinperitonealdialysispatientsaprospectivecohortstudy
AT xiaoxiaoyang abdominalaorticcalcificationscoreasapredictorofclinicaloutcomeinperitonealdialysispatientsaprospectivecohortstudy
AT zanzheyu abdominalaorticcalcificationscoreasapredictorofclinicaloutcomeinperitonealdialysispatientsaprospectivecohortstudy
AT zhaohuini abdominalaorticcalcificationscoreasapredictorofclinicaloutcomeinperitonealdialysispatientsaprospectivecohortstudy
AT weifang abdominalaorticcalcificationscoreasapredictorofclinicaloutcomeinperitonealdialysispatientsaprospectivecohortstudy