The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries

This paper examines the finance growth link of two low-income Sub-Saharan African economies – Ethiopia and Kenya – which have different financial systems but are located in the same region. Unlike previous studies, we account for the role of non-bank financial intermediaries and formally model the e...

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Main Authors: Ashenafi Beyene Fanta, Daniel Makina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Lodz University Press 2016-09-01
Series:Comparative Economic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://czasopisma.uni.lodz.pl/CER/article/view/2342
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author Ashenafi Beyene Fanta
Daniel Makina
author_facet Ashenafi Beyene Fanta
Daniel Makina
author_sort Ashenafi Beyene Fanta
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the finance growth link of two low-income Sub-Saharan African economies – Ethiopia and Kenya – which have different financial systems but are located in the same region. Unlike previous studies, we account for the role of non-bank financial intermediaries and formally model the effect of structural breaks caused by policy and market-induced economic events. We used the Vector Autoregressive model (VAR), conducted impulse response analysis and examined variance decomposition. We find that neither the level of financial intermediary development nor the level of stock market development explains economic growth in Kenya. For Ethiopia, which has no stock market, intermediary development is found to be driven by economic growth. Three important inferences can be made from these findings. First, the often reported positive link between finance and growth might be caused by the aggregation of countries at different stages of economic growth and financial development. Second, country-specific economic situations  and episodes are important in studying the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Third, there is the possibility that the econometric model employed to test the finance growth link plays a role in the empirical result, as we note that prior studies did not introduce control variables.
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spelling doaj.art-a9663d6bf6d24667ae50072a046958e62022-12-21T22:06:53ZengLodz University PressComparative Economic Research1508-20082082-67372016-09-0119314716710.1515/cer-2016-00252342The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African CountriesAshenafi Beyene Fanta0Daniel MakinaUniversity of South AfricaThis paper examines the finance growth link of two low-income Sub-Saharan African economies – Ethiopia and Kenya – which have different financial systems but are located in the same region. Unlike previous studies, we account for the role of non-bank financial intermediaries and formally model the effect of structural breaks caused by policy and market-induced economic events. We used the Vector Autoregressive model (VAR), conducted impulse response analysis and examined variance decomposition. We find that neither the level of financial intermediary development nor the level of stock market development explains economic growth in Kenya. For Ethiopia, which has no stock market, intermediary development is found to be driven by economic growth. Three important inferences can be made from these findings. First, the often reported positive link between finance and growth might be caused by the aggregation of countries at different stages of economic growth and financial development. Second, country-specific economic situations  and episodes are important in studying the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Third, there is the possibility that the econometric model employed to test the finance growth link plays a role in the empirical result, as we note that prior studies did not introduce control variables.https://czasopisma.uni.lodz.pl/CER/article/view/2342financegrowthethiopiakenyastock marketsprivate credit
spellingShingle Ashenafi Beyene Fanta
Daniel Makina
The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries
Comparative Economic Research
finance
growth
ethiopia
kenya
stock markets
private credit
title The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries
title_full The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries
title_fullStr The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries
title_full_unstemmed The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries
title_short The Finance Growth Link: Comparative Analysis Of Two Eastern African Countries
title_sort finance growth link comparative analysis of two eastern african countries
topic finance
growth
ethiopia
kenya
stock markets
private credit
url https://czasopisma.uni.lodz.pl/CER/article/view/2342
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