Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena

The flora of the island of St Helena provides an amplified system for the study of extinction by reason of the island’s high endemism, small size, vulnerable biota, length of time of severe disturbance (since 1502), and severity of threats. Endemic plants have been eliminated from 96.5% of St Helena...

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Main Authors: Phil Lambdon, Quentin Cronk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00041/full
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author Phil Lambdon
Quentin Cronk
author_facet Phil Lambdon
Quentin Cronk
author_sort Phil Lambdon
collection DOAJ
description The flora of the island of St Helena provides an amplified system for the study of extinction by reason of the island’s high endemism, small size, vulnerable biota, length of time of severe disturbance (since 1502), and severity of threats. Endemic plants have been eliminated from 96.5% of St Helena by habitat loss. There are eight recorded extinctions in the vascular flora since 1771 giving an extinction rate of 581 extinctions per million species per year (E/MSY). This is considerably higher than background extinction rates, variously estimated at 1 or 0.1 E/MSY. We have no information for plant extinctions prior to 1771 but applying the same extinction rate to the period 1502–1771 suggests that there may be around 10 unrecorded historical extinctions. We use census data and population decline estimates to project likely extinction forward in time. The projected overall extinction rate for the next 200 years is somewhat higher at 625 E/MSY. However, our data predict an extinction crunch in the next 50 years with four species out of the remaining 48 likely to become extinct during this period. It is interesting that during a period when the native plant areas dropped to 3.5% of the original, the extinction rate appears to have remained shallowly linear with under 30% of the endemic flora becoming extinct.
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spelling doaj.art-a97cee0b3deb4c118807d5773860659f2022-12-21T18:45:56ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution2296-701X2020-02-01810.3389/fevo.2020.00041496554Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St HelenaPhil Lambdon0Quentin Cronk1Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, United KingdomDepartment of Botany, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, CanadaThe flora of the island of St Helena provides an amplified system for the study of extinction by reason of the island’s high endemism, small size, vulnerable biota, length of time of severe disturbance (since 1502), and severity of threats. Endemic plants have been eliminated from 96.5% of St Helena by habitat loss. There are eight recorded extinctions in the vascular flora since 1771 giving an extinction rate of 581 extinctions per million species per year (E/MSY). This is considerably higher than background extinction rates, variously estimated at 1 or 0.1 E/MSY. We have no information for plant extinctions prior to 1771 but applying the same extinction rate to the period 1502–1771 suggests that there may be around 10 unrecorded historical extinctions. We use census data and population decline estimates to project likely extinction forward in time. The projected overall extinction rate for the next 200 years is somewhat higher at 625 E/MSY. However, our data predict an extinction crunch in the next 50 years with four species out of the remaining 48 likely to become extinct during this period. It is interesting that during a period when the native plant areas dropped to 3.5% of the original, the extinction rate appears to have remained shallowly linear with under 30% of the endemic flora becoming extinct.https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00041/fullplant extinctionextinction rateoceanic islandisland extinctionSt Helenadark extinction
spellingShingle Phil Lambdon
Quentin Cronk
Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
plant extinction
extinction rate
oceanic island
island extinction
St Helena
dark extinction
title Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena
title_full Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena
title_fullStr Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena
title_full_unstemmed Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena
title_short Extinction Dynamics Under Extreme Conservation Threat: The Flora of St Helena
title_sort extinction dynamics under extreme conservation threat the flora of st helena
topic plant extinction
extinction rate
oceanic island
island extinction
St Helena
dark extinction
url https://www.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fevo.2020.00041/full
work_keys_str_mv AT phillambdon extinctiondynamicsunderextremeconservationthreatthefloraofsthelena
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