Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam

The study proposed an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) model capable of predicting sediment deposited in a dam and sediment loss-in-transit (SLIT) using the potential of a formulated mathematical relation. The input parameters consist of five members viz: the rainfall, the slope, the...

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Main Authors: Stephen Olushola Oladosu, Alfred Sunday Alademomi, James Bolarinwa Olaleye, Joseph Olalekan Olusina, Tosin Julius Salami
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences 2023-05-01
Series:Journal of Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.nsps.org.ng/index.php/jnsps/article/view/1028
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author Stephen Olushola Oladosu
Alfred Sunday Alademomi
James Bolarinwa Olaleye
Joseph Olalekan Olusina
Tosin Julius Salami
author_facet Stephen Olushola Oladosu
Alfred Sunday Alademomi
James Bolarinwa Olaleye
Joseph Olalekan Olusina
Tosin Julius Salami
author_sort Stephen Olushola Oladosu
collection DOAJ
description The study proposed an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) model capable of predicting sediment deposited in a dam and sediment loss-in-transit (SLIT) using the potential of a formulated mathematical relation. The input parameters consist of five members viz: the rainfall, the slope, the particle size, the velocity, and the computed total volume of sediment exited from two prominent gullies for 2017, 2018, and 2019. The outputs are the total volume of sediment deposited at the adjoining Ikpoba dam for 2017, 2018, and 2019, respectively. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression model on sediment volume retained all covariates with p<0.05, explaining 93.8% of the variability in the dataset. The multicollinearity effect on the dataset was assessed using the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) which was found not to pose a problem for (VIF<5). The model was validated using the (MSE), the (MAE), and the correlation coefficient (r). The best prediction was obtained as: (RMSE = 0.0423; R2 = 0.947). The predicted volume of sediment was 842,895.8547m3 with an error of -0.3295344% and the predicted volume of SLIT was 57,787.98m3 which is an indication that ANFIS performs satisfactorily in predicting sediment volume for the gullies and the dam respectively
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spelling doaj.art-a9cc268223a3422c9c7b00590180f4762023-05-22T06:01:16ZengNigerian Society of Physical SciencesJournal of Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences2714-28172714-47042023-05-015210.46481/jnsps.2023.1028Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and DamStephen Olushola Oladosu0Alfred Sunday Alademomi 1James Bolarinwa Olaleye2Joseph Olalekan Olusina3Tosin Julius Salami4Department of Geomatics, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, University of Benin, P.M.B. 1154, Edo State, NigeriaDepartment of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, Nigeria; Centre for Multidisciplinary Research and Innovation, Suite C59, New Bannex Plaza, Wuze 2, Abuja, NigeriaDepartment of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, NigeriaDepartment of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, NigeriaDepartment of Surveying and Geoinformatics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Lagos, P.M.B. 12003, Akoka, Lagos State, Nigeria The study proposed an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) model capable of predicting sediment deposited in a dam and sediment loss-in-transit (SLIT) using the potential of a formulated mathematical relation. The input parameters consist of five members viz: the rainfall, the slope, the particle size, the velocity, and the computed total volume of sediment exited from two prominent gullies for 2017, 2018, and 2019. The outputs are the total volume of sediment deposited at the adjoining Ikpoba dam for 2017, 2018, and 2019, respectively. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression model on sediment volume retained all covariates with p<0.05, explaining 93.8% of the variability in the dataset. The multicollinearity effect on the dataset was assessed using the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) which was found not to pose a problem for (VIF<5). The model was validated using the (MSE), the (MAE), and the correlation coefficient (r). The best prediction was obtained as: (RMSE = 0.0423; R2 = 0.947). The predicted volume of sediment was 842,895.8547m3 with an error of -0.3295344% and the predicted volume of SLIT was 57,787.98m3 which is an indication that ANFIS performs satisfactorily in predicting sediment volume for the gullies and the dam respectively https://journal.nsps.org.ng/index.php/jnsps/article/view/1028ANFIS, Gully Erosion, Ikpoba Dam, Sedimentation
spellingShingle Stephen Olushola Oladosu
Alfred Sunday Alademomi
James Bolarinwa Olaleye
Joseph Olalekan Olusina
Tosin Julius Salami
Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam
Journal of Nigerian Society of Physical Sciences
ANFIS, Gully Erosion, Ikpoba Dam, Sedimentation
title Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam
title_full Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam
title_fullStr Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam
title_short Evaluation of ANFIS Predictive Ability Using Computed Sediment from Gullies and Dam
title_sort evaluation of anfis predictive ability using computed sediment from gullies and dam
topic ANFIS, Gully Erosion, Ikpoba Dam, Sedimentation
url https://journal.nsps.org.ng/index.php/jnsps/article/view/1028
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AT alfredsundayalademomi evaluationofanfispredictiveabilityusingcomputedsedimentfromgulliesanddam
AT jamesbolarinwaolaleye evaluationofanfispredictiveabilityusingcomputedsedimentfromgulliesanddam
AT josepholalekanolusina evaluationofanfispredictiveabilityusingcomputedsedimentfromgulliesanddam
AT tosinjuliussalami evaluationofanfispredictiveabilityusingcomputedsedimentfromgulliesanddam