Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China

Reasonable payments of Ecosystem Services (PES) standards are crucial to provide eco-environment management countermeasures. However, existing research on the unified coordination of future PES from the overall perspective is insufficient. This paper proposes a framework derived from the patch-gener...

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Main Authors: Ying Liu, Bo Qu, Enhui Jiang, Lingang Hao, Yongwei Zhu, Yongcai Jing
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23013742
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author Ying Liu
Bo Qu
Enhui Jiang
Lingang Hao
Yongwei Zhu
Yongcai Jing
author_facet Ying Liu
Bo Qu
Enhui Jiang
Lingang Hao
Yongwei Zhu
Yongcai Jing
author_sort Ying Liu
collection DOAJ
description Reasonable payments of Ecosystem Services (PES) standards are crucial to provide eco-environment management countermeasures. However, existing research on the unified coordination of future PES from the overall perspective is insufficient. This paper proposes a framework derived from the patch-generating land-use simulation (PLUS) model and the ecosystem services value (ESV) assessment method for allocation PES funds. The Yellow River Basin (YRB) was taken as a case study, which is a highly integrated and interconnected entity. The PLUS model was used to analyze various land-use situations from 2010 to 2020, and predict future land-use status under different development scenarios including natural development (ND), cropland conservation (CC) and ecological conservation (EC). The ESV approach was applied to calculate the ESV in nine provinces of the YRB, and propose optimized fund distribution schemes. The results showed that (1) The most significant land-use changes during 2010–2020 were impervious, forests, grasslands, and croplands, where the impervious increased by 22.47 % (4642 km2) and the forest increased by 9 % (7623 km2). (2) The total ESV in the YRB will be highest under EC scenario in 2030, at 729.16 billion CNY, and Qinghai, Sichuan, Gansu and Shandong will have the highest ESV under EC scenario. (3) The funds will reach lowest under EC scenario, at 13.35 billion CNY, while reach highest under CC scenario, at 13.58 billion CNY. (4) In any scenario, Qinghai and Gansu province will get the highest PES funds among nine provinces, and financial investment in the Qinghai Province needs to be increased. Based on our results, it is recommended to foster the exploration of horizontal compensation between the downstream provinces of Henan and Shandong, and the upstream provinces of Qinghai, Sichuan, and Gansu, in order to enhance the protection of the eco-environment. The findings can provide scientific guidance for improvement of the PES funds allocation in the YRB, and methodological references for other river basins.
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spelling doaj.art-a9f00bf29c6a4721a8d68aaa8c33236c2023-12-03T05:40:03ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2023-12-01157111232Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, ChinaYing Liu0Bo Qu1Enhui Jiang2Lingang Hao3Yongwei Zhu4Yongcai Jing5Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC, No. 45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaYellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC, No. 45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, China; Key Laboratory of Lower Yellow River Channel and Estuary Regulation, MWR, No.45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, China; Corresponding author at: Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC, No. 45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, China.Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC, No. 45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, China; Key Laboratory of Lower Yellow River Channel and Estuary Regulation, MWR, No.45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaYellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC, No. 45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaYellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research, YRCC, No. 45 Shunhe Road, Zhengzhou 450003, ChinaReasonable payments of Ecosystem Services (PES) standards are crucial to provide eco-environment management countermeasures. However, existing research on the unified coordination of future PES from the overall perspective is insufficient. This paper proposes a framework derived from the patch-generating land-use simulation (PLUS) model and the ecosystem services value (ESV) assessment method for allocation PES funds. The Yellow River Basin (YRB) was taken as a case study, which is a highly integrated and interconnected entity. The PLUS model was used to analyze various land-use situations from 2010 to 2020, and predict future land-use status under different development scenarios including natural development (ND), cropland conservation (CC) and ecological conservation (EC). The ESV approach was applied to calculate the ESV in nine provinces of the YRB, and propose optimized fund distribution schemes. The results showed that (1) The most significant land-use changes during 2010–2020 were impervious, forests, grasslands, and croplands, where the impervious increased by 22.47 % (4642 km2) and the forest increased by 9 % (7623 km2). (2) The total ESV in the YRB will be highest under EC scenario in 2030, at 729.16 billion CNY, and Qinghai, Sichuan, Gansu and Shandong will have the highest ESV under EC scenario. (3) The funds will reach lowest under EC scenario, at 13.35 billion CNY, while reach highest under CC scenario, at 13.58 billion CNY. (4) In any scenario, Qinghai and Gansu province will get the highest PES funds among nine provinces, and financial investment in the Qinghai Province needs to be increased. Based on our results, it is recommended to foster the exploration of horizontal compensation between the downstream provinces of Henan and Shandong, and the upstream provinces of Qinghai, Sichuan, and Gansu, in order to enhance the protection of the eco-environment. The findings can provide scientific guidance for improvement of the PES funds allocation in the YRB, and methodological references for other river basins.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23013742Patch-generating land-use simulation modelEcosystem services valueYellow River BasinPayments for ecosystem services
spellingShingle Ying Liu
Bo Qu
Enhui Jiang
Lingang Hao
Yongwei Zhu
Yongcai Jing
Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China
Ecological Indicators
Patch-generating land-use simulation model
Ecosystem services value
Yellow River Basin
Payments for ecosystem services
title Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_full Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_fullStr Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_full_unstemmed Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_short Allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the Yellow River Basin, China
title_sort allocating payments for ecosystem services under future multiple scenarios in the yellow river basin china
topic Patch-generating land-use simulation model
Ecosystem services value
Yellow River Basin
Payments for ecosystem services
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23013742
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