Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss

In this paper, we calculate premiums that are based on the Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) and asymmetric loss functions to account for the risk of both underestimation and overestimation losses. After selecting an appropriate loss function, the premium is calculated as the quantity minimizing an...

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Main Authors: Enrique Calderín-Ojeda, Emilio Gómez-Déniz, Francisco J. Vázquez-Polo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Axioms
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/12/5/496
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author Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
Emilio Gómez-Déniz
Francisco J. Vázquez-Polo
author_facet Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
Emilio Gómez-Déniz
Francisco J. Vázquez-Polo
author_sort Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we calculate premiums that are based on the Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) and asymmetric loss functions to account for the risk of both underestimation and overestimation losses. After selecting an appropriate loss function, the premium is calculated as the quantity minimizing an objective function related to the conditional tail expectation of the loss. The premium satisfies desirable properties, i.e., it is a coherent risk measure, and it helps the practitioner to quantify the global risk of the insurer. Finally, this methodology is applied to quantify the risks associated to the total claims amount that are modelled via composite models and comparisons with the usual risk measures, i.e., Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Tail Value-at-Risk (TVaR) are carried out.
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spelling doaj.art-a9fda92b43094f108cfb442b798ee9892023-11-18T00:28:06ZengMDPI AGAxioms2075-16802023-05-0112549610.3390/axioms12050496Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric LossEnrique Calderín-Ojeda0Emilio Gómez-Déniz1Francisco J. Vázquez-Polo2Centre for Actuarial Studies, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC 3010, AustraliaDepartment of Quantitative Methods in Economics and TIDES Institute, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, SpainDepartment of Quantitative Methods in Economics and TIDES Institute, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, SpainIn this paper, we calculate premiums that are based on the Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) and asymmetric loss functions to account for the risk of both underestimation and overestimation losses. After selecting an appropriate loss function, the premium is calculated as the quantity minimizing an objective function related to the conditional tail expectation of the loss. The premium satisfies desirable properties, i.e., it is a coherent risk measure, and it helps the practitioner to quantify the global risk of the insurer. Finally, this methodology is applied to quantify the risks associated to the total claims amount that are modelled via composite models and comparisons with the usual risk measures, i.e., Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Tail Value-at-Risk (TVaR) are carried out.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/12/5/496asymmetric loss functioncomposite modelsloss distributionspremium calculationrisk measures
spellingShingle Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
Emilio Gómez-Déniz
Francisco J. Vázquez-Polo
Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss
Axioms
asymmetric loss function
composite models
loss distributions
premium calculation
risk measures
title Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss
title_full Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss
title_fullStr Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss
title_full_unstemmed Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss
title_short Conditional Tail Expectation and Premium Calculation under Asymmetric Loss
title_sort conditional tail expectation and premium calculation under asymmetric loss
topic asymmetric loss function
composite models
loss distributions
premium calculation
risk measures
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/12/5/496
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AT emiliogomezdeniz conditionaltailexpectationandpremiumcalculationunderasymmetricloss
AT franciscojvazquezpolo conditionaltailexpectationandpremiumcalculationunderasymmetricloss