Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees

In an era of looming land scarcity and environmental degradation, the development of low carbon energy systems without adverse impacts on land and land-based resources is a global challenge. ‘Floatovoltaic’ energy systems—comprising floating photovoltaic (PV) panels over water—are an appealing sourc...

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Main Authors: Alona Armstrong, Trevor Page, Stephen J Thackeray, Rebecca R Hernandez, Ian D Jones
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbf7b
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author Alona Armstrong
Trevor Page
Stephen J Thackeray
Rebecca R Hernandez
Ian D Jones
author_facet Alona Armstrong
Trevor Page
Stephen J Thackeray
Rebecca R Hernandez
Ian D Jones
author_sort Alona Armstrong
collection DOAJ
description In an era of looming land scarcity and environmental degradation, the development of low carbon energy systems without adverse impacts on land and land-based resources is a global challenge. ‘Floatovoltaic’ energy systems—comprising floating photovoltaic (PV) panels over water—are an appealing source of low carbon energy as they spare land for other uses and attain greater electricity outputs compared to land-based systems. However, to date little is understood of the impacts of floatovoltaics on the hosting water body. Anticipating changes to water body processes, properties and services owing to floatovoltaic deployment represents a critical knowledge gap that may result in poor societal choices and water body governance. Here, we developed a theoretically-derived hierarchical effects framework for the assessment of floatovoltaic impacts on freshwater water bodies, emphasising ecological interactions. We describe how the presence of floatovoltaic systems may dramatically alter the air-water interface, with subsequent implications for surface meteorology, air-water fluxes and physical, chemical and biological properties of the recipient water body. We apply knowledge from this framework to delineate three response typologies—‘ magnitude’ , those for which the direction and magnitude of effect can be predicted; ‘ direction’ , those for which only the direction of effect can be predicted; and ‘ uncertain’ , those for which the response cannot be predicted—characterised by the relative importance of levels in the effects hierarchy. Illustrative decision trees are developed for an example water body response within each typology, specifically, evaporative water loss, cyanobacterial biomass, and phosphorus release from bed sediments, and implications for ecosystem services, including climate regulation, are discussed. Finally, the potential to use the new understanding of likely ecosystem perturbations to direct floatovoltaic design innovations and identify future research priorities is outlined, showcasing how inter-sectoral collaboration and environmental science can inform and optimise this low carbon, land-sparing renewable energy for ecosystem gains.
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spelling doaj.art-aa3f4f300a484916a05e8fa66331bbae2023-08-09T14:57:39ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-01151111405510.1088/1748-9326/abbf7bIntegrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision treesAlona Armstrong0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8963-4621Trevor Page1Stephen J Thackeray2Rebecca R Hernandez3Ian D Jones4Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United Kingdom; Energy Lancaster, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YF, United KingdomLancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University , Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United KingdomUK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre , Library Avenue, Bailrigg LA1 4AP, United KingdomDepartment of Land, Air & Water Resources, University of California, Davis , One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, United States of America; Wild Energy Initiative, John Muir Institute of the Environment, University of California, Davis , One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, United States of AmericaBiological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling , Stirling FK9 4LA, United KingdomIn an era of looming land scarcity and environmental degradation, the development of low carbon energy systems without adverse impacts on land and land-based resources is a global challenge. ‘Floatovoltaic’ energy systems—comprising floating photovoltaic (PV) panels over water—are an appealing source of low carbon energy as they spare land for other uses and attain greater electricity outputs compared to land-based systems. However, to date little is understood of the impacts of floatovoltaics on the hosting water body. Anticipating changes to water body processes, properties and services owing to floatovoltaic deployment represents a critical knowledge gap that may result in poor societal choices and water body governance. Here, we developed a theoretically-derived hierarchical effects framework for the assessment of floatovoltaic impacts on freshwater water bodies, emphasising ecological interactions. We describe how the presence of floatovoltaic systems may dramatically alter the air-water interface, with subsequent implications for surface meteorology, air-water fluxes and physical, chemical and biological properties of the recipient water body. We apply knowledge from this framework to delineate three response typologies—‘ magnitude’ , those for which the direction and magnitude of effect can be predicted; ‘ direction’ , those for which only the direction of effect can be predicted; and ‘ uncertain’ , those for which the response cannot be predicted—characterised by the relative importance of levels in the effects hierarchy. Illustrative decision trees are developed for an example water body response within each typology, specifically, evaporative water loss, cyanobacterial biomass, and phosphorus release from bed sediments, and implications for ecosystem services, including climate regulation, are discussed. Finally, the potential to use the new understanding of likely ecosystem perturbations to direct floatovoltaic design innovations and identify future research priorities is outlined, showcasing how inter-sectoral collaboration and environmental science can inform and optimise this low carbon, land-sparing renewable energy for ecosystem gains.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbf7bfloating solarFPVfloatovoltaicsaquatic ecosystemfreshwaterecosystem services
spellingShingle Alona Armstrong
Trevor Page
Stephen J Thackeray
Rebecca R Hernandez
Ian D Jones
Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
Environmental Research Letters
floating solar
FPV
floatovoltaics
aquatic ecosystem
freshwater
ecosystem services
title Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
title_full Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
title_fullStr Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
title_full_unstemmed Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
title_short Integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
title_sort integrating environmental understanding into freshwater floatovoltaic deployment using an effects hierarchy and decision trees
topic floating solar
FPV
floatovoltaics
aquatic ecosystem
freshwater
ecosystem services
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbf7b
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