POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY

The conducted analysis aims to indicate the real threat of the depopulation process to Latvia's national security. The aim of the analysis is to examine the pace of changes, to indicate their main determinants and potential effects. The research hypothesis assumes that in the absence of an...

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Main Author: Jan A. WENDT
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editura Universitatii din Oradea 2021-05-01
Series:Revista Română de Geografie Politică
Subjects:
Online Access:http://rrgp.uoradea.ro/art/2021-1/rrgp.231103-349.pdf
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author Jan A. WENDT
author_facet Jan A. WENDT
author_sort Jan A. WENDT
collection DOAJ
description The conducted analysis aims to indicate the real threat of the depopulation process to Latvia's national security. The aim of the analysis is to examine the pace of changes, to indicate their main determinants and potential effects. The research hypothesis assumes that in the absence of an immediate, radical change in the demographic and social policy of the state, the population of Latvia will decrease to the level of approx. 1 million in the next 40-45 years. The conducted research shows a constantly decreasing natural increase and a high, negative level of migration. The carried out extrapolation of the population number confirms the hypothesis put forward in the study. The slight effect of the measures taken so far by the Latvian government to counter the depopolation process does not allow us to put an end to the optimistic scenarios of changes in demographic processes. An additional problem of the country's security is the issue of, above all, the Russian ethnic minority and the almost 10% share of non-citizens among the country's inhabitants.
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spelling doaj.art-aa63894855254cfd99fd93c554b2438a2022-12-21T20:16:01ZengEditura Universitatii din OradeaRevista Română de Geografie Politică1582-77632065-16192021-05-01231222810.30892/rrgp.231103-349POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITYJan A. WENDT0University of Gdańsk, Institute of Geography, Bażyńskiego 4, 80-309 Gdańsk, Poland, e-mail: jan.wendt@ug.edu.plThe conducted analysis aims to indicate the real threat of the depopulation process to Latvia's national security. The aim of the analysis is to examine the pace of changes, to indicate their main determinants and potential effects. The research hypothesis assumes that in the absence of an immediate, radical change in the demographic and social policy of the state, the population of Latvia will decrease to the level of approx. 1 million in the next 40-45 years. The conducted research shows a constantly decreasing natural increase and a high, negative level of migration. The carried out extrapolation of the population number confirms the hypothesis put forward in the study. The slight effect of the measures taken so far by the Latvian government to counter the depopolation process does not allow us to put an end to the optimistic scenarios of changes in demographic processes. An additional problem of the country's security is the issue of, above all, the Russian ethnic minority and the almost 10% share of non-citizens among the country's inhabitants.http://rrgp.uoradea.ro/art/2021-1/rrgp.231103-349.pdfdemographylatviapopulationpopulation declinesecurity
spellingShingle Jan A. WENDT
POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY
Revista Română de Geografie Politică
demography
latvia
population
population decline
security
title POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY
title_full POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY
title_fullStr POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY
title_full_unstemmed POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY
title_short POPULATIONS AS DETERMINANT OF LATVIA’S SECURITY
title_sort populations as determinant of latvia s security
topic demography
latvia
population
population decline
security
url http://rrgp.uoradea.ro/art/2021-1/rrgp.231103-349.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT janawendt populationsasdeterminantoflatviassecurity