Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network

The accurate forecasting of urban taxi demands, which is a hot topic in intelligent transportation research, is challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal dependencies, the dynamic nature, and the uncertainty of traffic. To make full use of the global and local correlations between traffic...

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Main Authors: Zhe Chen, Bin Zhao, Yuehan Wang, Zongtao Duan, Xin Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/13/3776
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author Zhe Chen
Bin Zhao
Yuehan Wang
Zongtao Duan
Xin Zhao
author_facet Zhe Chen
Bin Zhao
Yuehan Wang
Zongtao Duan
Xin Zhao
author_sort Zhe Chen
collection DOAJ
description The accurate forecasting of urban taxi demands, which is a hot topic in intelligent transportation research, is challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal dependencies, the dynamic nature, and the uncertainty of traffic. To make full use of the global and local correlations between traffic flows on road sections, this paper presents a deep learning model based on a graph convolutional network, long short-term memory (LSTM), and multitask learning. First, an undirected graph model was formed by considering the spatial pattern distribution of taxi trips on road networks. Then, LSTMs were used to extract the temporal features of traffic flows. Finally, the model was trained using a multitask learning strategy to improve the model’s generalizability. In the experiments, the efficiency and accuracy were verified with real-world taxi trajectory data. The experimental results showed that the model could effectively forecast the short-term taxi demands on the traffic network level and outperform state-of-the-art traffic prediction methods.
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spelling doaj.art-aa8357e88f9b4b0bb207d18ea38f65132023-11-20T05:55:08ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202020-07-012013377610.3390/s20133776Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road NetworkZhe Chen0Bin Zhao1Yuehan Wang2Zongtao Duan3Xin Zhao4School of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, ChinaThe accurate forecasting of urban taxi demands, which is a hot topic in intelligent transportation research, is challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal dependencies, the dynamic nature, and the uncertainty of traffic. To make full use of the global and local correlations between traffic flows on road sections, this paper presents a deep learning model based on a graph convolutional network, long short-term memory (LSTM), and multitask learning. First, an undirected graph model was formed by considering the spatial pattern distribution of taxi trips on road networks. Then, LSTMs were used to extract the temporal features of traffic flows. Finally, the model was trained using a multitask learning strategy to improve the model’s generalizability. In the experiments, the efficiency and accuracy were verified with real-world taxi trajectory data. The experimental results showed that the model could effectively forecast the short-term taxi demands on the traffic network level and outperform state-of-the-art traffic prediction methods.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/13/3776taxi demand predictiongraph neural networkGPS trajectory of taxisspatial-temporal modeldeep learning
spellingShingle Zhe Chen
Bin Zhao
Yuehan Wang
Zongtao Duan
Xin Zhao
Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network
Sensors
taxi demand prediction
graph neural network
GPS trajectory of taxis
spatial-temporal model
deep learning
title Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network
title_full Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network
title_fullStr Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network
title_full_unstemmed Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network
title_short Multitask Learning and GCN-Based Taxi Demand Prediction for a Traffic Road Network
title_sort multitask learning and gcn based taxi demand prediction for a traffic road network
topic taxi demand prediction
graph neural network
GPS trajectory of taxis
spatial-temporal model
deep learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/13/3776
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