Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey
In this paper, we provide a brief survey of mathematical modelling of malaria and how it is used to understand the transmission and progression of the disease and design strategies for its control to support public health interventions and decision-making. We discuss some of the past and present con...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Mathematics and Informatics
2021-10-01
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| Series: | Biomath |
| Online Access: | http://www.biomathforum.org/biomath/index.php/biomath/article/view/1421 |
| _version_ | 1797707939797008384 |
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| author | Jacek Banasiak Rachid Ouifki Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima |
| author_facet | Jacek Banasiak Rachid Ouifki Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima |
| author_sort | Jacek Banasiak |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | In this paper, we provide a brief survey of mathematical modelling of malaria and how it is used to understand the transmission and progression of the disease and design strategies for its control to support public health interventions and decision-making. We discuss some of the past and present contributions of mathematical modelling of malaria, including the recent development of modelling the transmission-blocking drugs. We also comment on the complexity of the malaria dynamics and, in particular, on its multiscale character with its challenges and opportunities. We illustrate the discussion by presenting a curve fitting using a 95% confidence interval for the South African data for malaria from the years 2001-2018$ and provide projections for the number of malaria cases and deaths up to the year 2025. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T06:14:59Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-aac153bc18384ad7a4f0022eae0f1190 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1314-684X 1314-7218 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T06:14:59Z |
| publishDate | 2021-10-01 |
| publisher | Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Mathematics and Informatics |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Biomath |
| spelling | doaj.art-aac153bc18384ad7a4f0022eae0f11902023-09-03T02:45:11ZengBulgarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Mathematics and InformaticsBiomath1314-684X1314-72182021-10-0110210.11145/j.biomath.2021.10.029876Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective surveyJacek BanasiakRachid OuifkiWoldegebriel Assefa WoldegerimaIn this paper, we provide a brief survey of mathematical modelling of malaria and how it is used to understand the transmission and progression of the disease and design strategies for its control to support public health interventions and decision-making. We discuss some of the past and present contributions of mathematical modelling of malaria, including the recent development of modelling the transmission-blocking drugs. We also comment on the complexity of the malaria dynamics and, in particular, on its multiscale character with its challenges and opportunities. We illustrate the discussion by presenting a curve fitting using a 95% confidence interval for the South African data for malaria from the years 2001-2018$ and provide projections for the number of malaria cases and deaths up to the year 2025.http://www.biomathforum.org/biomath/index.php/biomath/article/view/1421 |
| spellingShingle | Jacek Banasiak Rachid Ouifki Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey Biomath |
| title | Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey |
| title_full | Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey |
| title_fullStr | Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey |
| title_full_unstemmed | Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey |
| title_short | Some mathematical tools for modelling malaria: a subjective survey |
| title_sort | some mathematical tools for modelling malaria a subjective survey |
| url | http://www.biomathforum.org/biomath/index.php/biomath/article/view/1421 |
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