A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions

Limited driving range remains one of the barriers for widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). To address the problem of range anxiety, this paper presents an energy consumption prediction method for EVs, designed for energy-efficient routing. This data-driven methodology combines real-world...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cedric De Cauwer, Wouter Verbeke, Thierry Coosemans, Saphir Faid, Joeri Van Mierlo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2017-05-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/10/5/608
_version_ 1817990352036954112
author Cedric De Cauwer
Wouter Verbeke
Thierry Coosemans
Saphir Faid
Joeri Van Mierlo
author_facet Cedric De Cauwer
Wouter Verbeke
Thierry Coosemans
Saphir Faid
Joeri Van Mierlo
author_sort Cedric De Cauwer
collection DOAJ
description Limited driving range remains one of the barriers for widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). To address the problem of range anxiety, this paper presents an energy consumption prediction method for EVs, designed for energy-efficient routing. This data-driven methodology combines real-world measured driving data with geographical and weather data to predict the consumption over any given road in a road network. The driving data are linked to the road network using geographic information system software that allows to separate trips into segments with similar road characteristics. The energy consumption over road segments is estimated using a multiple linear regression (MLR) model that links the energy consumption with microscopic driving parameters (such as speed and acceleration) and external parameters (such as temperature). A neural network (NN) is used to predict the unknown microscopic driving parameters over a segment prior to departure, given the road segment characteristics and weather conditions. The complete proposed model predicts the energy consumption with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 12–14% of the average trip consumption, of which 7–9% is caused by the energy consumption estimation of the MLR model. This method allows for prediction of energy consumption over any route in the road network prior to departure, and enables cost-optimization algorithms to calculate energy efficient routes. The data-driven approach has the advantage that the model can easily be updated over time with changing conditions.
first_indexed 2024-04-14T00:58:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-aaccb4affbd5469cbb11fd5264a0f9d4
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1996-1073
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-14T00:58:39Z
publishDate 2017-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Energies
spelling doaj.art-aaccb4affbd5469cbb11fd5264a0f9d42022-12-22T02:21:30ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732017-05-0110560810.3390/en10050608en10050608A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World ConditionsCedric De Cauwer0Wouter Verbeke1Thierry Coosemans2Saphir Faid3Joeri Van Mierlo4Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre (MOBI), Electrotechnical Engineering and Energy Technology (ETEC) Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, BelgiumMobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre (MOBI), Electrotechnical Engineering and Energy Technology (ETEC) Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, BelgiumMobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre (MOBI), Electrotechnical Engineering and Energy Technology (ETEC) Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, BelgiumPunch Powertrain, Industriezone Schurhovenveld 4125, 3800 Sint-Truiden, BelgiumMobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre (MOBI), Electrotechnical Engineering and Energy Technology (ETEC) Department, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, BelgiumLimited driving range remains one of the barriers for widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs). To address the problem of range anxiety, this paper presents an energy consumption prediction method for EVs, designed for energy-efficient routing. This data-driven methodology combines real-world measured driving data with geographical and weather data to predict the consumption over any given road in a road network. The driving data are linked to the road network using geographic information system software that allows to separate trips into segments with similar road characteristics. The energy consumption over road segments is estimated using a multiple linear regression (MLR) model that links the energy consumption with microscopic driving parameters (such as speed and acceleration) and external parameters (such as temperature). A neural network (NN) is used to predict the unknown microscopic driving parameters over a segment prior to departure, given the road segment characteristics and weather conditions. The complete proposed model predicts the energy consumption with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 12–14% of the average trip consumption, of which 7–9% is caused by the energy consumption estimation of the MLR model. This method allows for prediction of energy consumption over any route in the road network prior to departure, and enables cost-optimization algorithms to calculate energy efficient routes. The data-driven approach has the advantage that the model can easily be updated over time with changing conditions.http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/10/5/608electric vehicle (EV)energy consumptionpredictionrouting
spellingShingle Cedric De Cauwer
Wouter Verbeke
Thierry Coosemans
Saphir Faid
Joeri Van Mierlo
A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
Energies
electric vehicle (EV)
energy consumption
prediction
routing
title A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
title_full A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
title_fullStr A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
title_full_unstemmed A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
title_short A Data-Driven Method for Energy Consumption Prediction and Energy-Efficient Routing of Electric Vehicles in Real-World Conditions
title_sort data driven method for energy consumption prediction and energy efficient routing of electric vehicles in real world conditions
topic electric vehicle (EV)
energy consumption
prediction
routing
url http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/10/5/608
work_keys_str_mv AT cedricdecauwer adatadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT wouterverbeke adatadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT thierrycoosemans adatadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT saphirfaid adatadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT joerivanmierlo adatadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT cedricdecauwer datadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT wouterverbeke datadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT thierrycoosemans datadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT saphirfaid datadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions
AT joerivanmierlo datadrivenmethodforenergyconsumptionpredictionandenergyefficientroutingofelectricvehiclesinrealworldconditions