Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis

This study empirically tests the contagion effects in stock and real estate investment trust (REIT) markets during the subprime mortgage crisis by using daily stock- and REIT-markets data from the following countries and international bodies: the United States, the European Union, Japan, Hong Kong,...

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Main Authors: Ming-Chi Chen, Hsiu-Jung Tsai, Tien-Foo Sing, Chih-Yuan Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2015-04-01
Series:International Journal of Strategic Property Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/IJSPM/article/view/2108
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author Ming-Chi Chen
Hsiu-Jung Tsai
Tien-Foo Sing
Chih-Yuan Yang
author_facet Ming-Chi Chen
Hsiu-Jung Tsai
Tien-Foo Sing
Chih-Yuan Yang
author_sort Ming-Chi Chen
collection DOAJ
description This study empirically tests the contagion effects in stock and real estate investment trust (REIT) markets during the subprime mortgage crisis by using daily stock- and REIT-markets data from the following countries and international bodies: the United States, the European Union, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and the global REIT market. We found a significant and positive dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) coefficient between stock returns and REIT returns. The results revealed that the REIT markets responded early to market shocks and that the variances were higher in the post-crisis period than in the pre-crisis period. Evidence supporting the contagion effects includes increases in the means of the DCC coefficients during the post-crisis period. The Japanese and Australian REIT markets possess the lowest time-varying downside systematic risks. We also demonstrated that the “DCC E-beta” captures more significant downside linkages between market portfolios and expected REIT returns than does the standard CAPM beta.
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spelling doaj.art-aad51b4012f04ab5b1ac348323e5b4fa2022-12-21T20:20:52ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityInternational Journal of Strategic Property Management1648-715X1648-91792015-04-0119110.3846/1648715X.2014.974724Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisisMing-Chi Chen0Hsiu-Jung Tsai1Tien-Foo Sing2Chih-Yuan Yang3Department of Finance, National Sun Yat-sen University, TaiwanDepartment of Finance, National Kaohsiung First University of Science and Technology, 15F., No. 249, Guanghua 3rd Rd., Qianzhen Dist., Kaohsiung City 806, TaiwanDepartment of Real Estate, National University of Singapore, SingaporeDepartment of Finance, Tainan University of Technology, TaiwanThis study empirically tests the contagion effects in stock and real estate investment trust (REIT) markets during the subprime mortgage crisis by using daily stock- and REIT-markets data from the following countries and international bodies: the United States, the European Union, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and the global REIT market. We found a significant and positive dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) coefficient between stock returns and REIT returns. The results revealed that the REIT markets responded early to market shocks and that the variances were higher in the post-crisis period than in the pre-crisis period. Evidence supporting the contagion effects includes increases in the means of the DCC coefficients during the post-crisis period. The Japanese and Australian REIT markets possess the lowest time-varying downside systematic risks. We also demonstrated that the “DCC E-beta” captures more significant downside linkages between market portfolios and expected REIT returns than does the standard CAPM beta.https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/IJSPM/article/view/2108Contagion effectSystematic riskDownside riskTime-varying betaDynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model
spellingShingle Ming-Chi Chen
Hsiu-Jung Tsai
Tien-Foo Sing
Chih-Yuan Yang
Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis
International Journal of Strategic Property Management
Contagion effect
Systematic risk
Downside risk
Time-varying beta
Dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model
title Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis
title_full Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis
title_fullStr Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis
title_full_unstemmed Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis
title_short Contagion and downside risk in the REIT market during the subprime mortgage crisis
title_sort contagion and downside risk in the reit market during the subprime mortgage crisis
topic Contagion effect
Systematic risk
Downside risk
Time-varying beta
Dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model
url https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/IJSPM/article/view/2108
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