Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks

We introduce a novel mathematical approach to investigating the spread and control of communicable infections in closed communities. Mycoplasma pneumoniae is a major cause of bacterial pneumonia in the United States. Outbreaks of illness attributable to mycoplasma commonly occur in closed or semi-cl...

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Main Authors: Lauren Ancel Meyers, M.E.J. Newman, Michael Martin, Stephanie Schrag
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2003-02-01
Series:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/9/2/02-0188_article
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author Lauren Ancel Meyers
M.E.J. Newman
Michael Martin
Stephanie Schrag
author_facet Lauren Ancel Meyers
M.E.J. Newman
Michael Martin
Stephanie Schrag
author_sort Lauren Ancel Meyers
collection DOAJ
description We introduce a novel mathematical approach to investigating the spread and control of communicable infections in closed communities. Mycoplasma pneumoniae is a major cause of bacterial pneumonia in the United States. Outbreaks of illness attributable to mycoplasma commonly occur in closed or semi-closed communities. These outbreaks are difficult to contain because of delays in outbreak detection, the long incubation period of the bacterium, and an incomplete understanding of the effectiveness of infection control strategies. Our model explicitly captures the patterns of interactions among patients and caregivers in an institution with multiple wards. Analysis of this contact network predicts that, despite the relatively low prevalence of mycoplasma pneumonia found among caregivers, the patterns of caregiver activity and the extent to which they are protected against infection may be fundamental to the control and prevention of mycoplasma outbreaks. In particular, the most effective interventions are those that reduce the diversity of interactions between caregivers and patients.
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spelling doaj.art-ab1fe5e58dcd487f827149d0d0dc1f6a2022-12-21T23:40:15ZengCenters for Disease Control and PreventionEmerging Infectious Diseases1080-60401080-60592003-02-019220421010.3201/eid0902.020188Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae OutbreaksLauren Ancel MeyersM.E.J. NewmanMichael MartinStephanie SchragWe introduce a novel mathematical approach to investigating the spread and control of communicable infections in closed communities. Mycoplasma pneumoniae is a major cause of bacterial pneumonia in the United States. Outbreaks of illness attributable to mycoplasma commonly occur in closed or semi-closed communities. These outbreaks are difficult to contain because of delays in outbreak detection, the long incubation period of the bacterium, and an incomplete understanding of the effectiveness of infection control strategies. Our model explicitly captures the patterns of interactions among patients and caregivers in an institution with multiple wards. Analysis of this contact network predicts that, despite the relatively low prevalence of mycoplasma pneumonia found among caregivers, the patterns of caregiver activity and the extent to which they are protected against infection may be fundamental to the control and prevention of mycoplasma outbreaks. In particular, the most effective interventions are those that reduce the diversity of interactions between caregivers and patients.https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/9/2/02-0188_articleepidemiologymodelstheoreticalnetworkrespiratory tract infectionsMycoplasma pneumonia
spellingShingle Lauren Ancel Meyers
M.E.J. Newman
Michael Martin
Stephanie Schrag
Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks
Emerging Infectious Diseases
epidemiology
models
theoretical
network
respiratory tract infections
Mycoplasma pneumonia
title Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks
title_full Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks
title_fullStr Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks
title_full_unstemmed Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks
title_short Applying Network Theory to Epidemics: Control Measures for Mycoplasma pneumoniae Outbreaks
title_sort applying network theory to epidemics control measures for mycoplasma pneumoniae outbreaks
topic epidemiology
models
theoretical
network
respiratory tract infections
Mycoplasma pneumonia
url https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/9/2/02-0188_article
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