The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)

Phylogenetics has been advanced as a structural framework to infer evolving trends in the regional spread of HIV-1 and guide public health interventions. In Quebec, molecular network analyses tracked HIV transmission dynamics from 2002–2020 using MEGA10-Neighbour-joining, HIV-TRACE, and MicrobeTrace...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bluma G. Brenner, Ruxandra-Ilinca Ibanescu, Nathan Osman, Ernesto Cuadra-Foy, Maureen Oliveira, Antoine Chaillon, David Stephens, Isabelle Hardy, Jean-Pierre Routy, Réjean Thomas, Jean-Guy Baril, Roger Leblanc, Cecile Tremblay, Michel Roger, The Montreal Primary HIV Infection (PHI) Cohort Study Group
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-08-01
Series:Viruses
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/13/8/1643
_version_ 1797521807835660288
author Bluma G. Brenner
Ruxandra-Ilinca Ibanescu
Nathan Osman
Ernesto Cuadra-Foy
Maureen Oliveira
Antoine Chaillon
David Stephens
Isabelle Hardy
Jean-Pierre Routy
Réjean Thomas
Jean-Guy Baril
Roger Leblanc
Cecile Tremblay
Michel Roger
The Montreal Primary HIV Infection (PHI) Cohort Study Group
author_facet Bluma G. Brenner
Ruxandra-Ilinca Ibanescu
Nathan Osman
Ernesto Cuadra-Foy
Maureen Oliveira
Antoine Chaillon
David Stephens
Isabelle Hardy
Jean-Pierre Routy
Réjean Thomas
Jean-Guy Baril
Roger Leblanc
Cecile Tremblay
Michel Roger
The Montreal Primary HIV Infection (PHI) Cohort Study Group
author_sort Bluma G. Brenner
collection DOAJ
description Phylogenetics has been advanced as a structural framework to infer evolving trends in the regional spread of HIV-1 and guide public health interventions. In Quebec, molecular network analyses tracked HIV transmission dynamics from 2002–2020 using MEGA10-Neighbour-joining, HIV-TRACE, and MicrobeTrace methodologies. Phylogenetics revealed three patterns of viral spread among Men having Sex with Men (MSM, <i>n</i> = 5024) and heterosexuals (HET, <i>n</i> = 1345) harbouring subtype B epidemics as well as B and non-B subtype epidemics (<i>n</i> = 1848) introduced through migration. Notably, half of new subtype B infections amongst MSM and HET segregating as solitary transmissions or small cluster networks (2–5 members) declined by 70% from 2006–2020, concomitant to advances in treatment-as-prevention. Nonetheless, subtype B epidemic control amongst MSM was thwarted by the ongoing genesis and expansion of super-spreader large cluster variants leading to micro-epidemics, averaging 49 members/cluster at the end of 2020. The growth of large clusters was related to forward transmission cascades of untreated early-stage infections, younger at-risk populations, more transmissible/replicative-competent strains, and changing demographics. Subtype B and non-B subtype infections introduced through recent migration now surpass the domestic epidemic amongst MSM. Phylodynamics can assist in predicting and responding to active, recurrent, and newly emergent large cluster networks, as well as the cryptic spread of HIV introduced through migration.
first_indexed 2024-03-10T08:17:49Z
format Article
id doaj.art-ab4c0bb006b043ad801e294b6ba4e7c7
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1999-4915
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-10T08:17:49Z
publishDate 2021-08-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Viruses
spelling doaj.art-ab4c0bb006b043ad801e294b6ba4e7c72023-11-22T10:12:37ZengMDPI AGViruses1999-49152021-08-01138164310.3390/v13081643The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)Bluma G. Brenner0Ruxandra-Ilinca Ibanescu1Nathan Osman2Ernesto Cuadra-Foy3Maureen Oliveira4Antoine Chaillon5David Stephens6Isabelle Hardy7Jean-Pierre Routy8Réjean Thomas9Jean-Guy Baril10Roger Leblanc11Cecile Tremblay12Michel Roger13The Montreal Primary HIV Infection (PHI) Cohort Study Group14McGill Centre for Viral Diseases, Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Montréal, QC H3T 1E2, CanadaMcGill Centre for Viral Diseases, Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Montréal, QC H3T 1E2, CanadaMcGill Centre for Viral Diseases, Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Montréal, QC H3T 1E2, CanadaMcGill Centre for Viral Diseases, Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Montréal, QC H3T 1E2, CanadaMcGill Centre for Viral Diseases, Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Montréal, QC H3T 1E2, CanadaDepartment of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, CA 93903, USADepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, McGill University, Montréal, QC H3A 0B9, CanadaDépartement de Microbiologie et d’Immunologie et Centre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal (CHUM), Montréal, QC H2X 0C1, CanadaChronic Viral Illness Service, McGill University Health Centre, Montréal, QC H3A 3J1, CanadaClinique Médicale l’Actuel, Montréal, QC H2L 4P9, CanadaClinique Médicale Urbaine du Quartier Latin, Montréal, QC H2L 4E9, CanadaClinique Médicale OPUS, Montréal, QC H3A 1T1, CanadaDépartement de Microbiologie et d’Immunologie et Centre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal (CHUM), Montréal, QC H2X 0C1, CanadaDépartement de Microbiologie et d’Immunologie et Centre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal (CHUM), Montréal, QC H2X 0C1, CanadaMontreal PHI Cohort of the Réseau Sida et Maladies Infectieuses, Centre de Recherche du CHUM, Montréal, QC H2X 0A9, CanadaPhylogenetics has been advanced as a structural framework to infer evolving trends in the regional spread of HIV-1 and guide public health interventions. In Quebec, molecular network analyses tracked HIV transmission dynamics from 2002–2020 using MEGA10-Neighbour-joining, HIV-TRACE, and MicrobeTrace methodologies. Phylogenetics revealed three patterns of viral spread among Men having Sex with Men (MSM, <i>n</i> = 5024) and heterosexuals (HET, <i>n</i> = 1345) harbouring subtype B epidemics as well as B and non-B subtype epidemics (<i>n</i> = 1848) introduced through migration. Notably, half of new subtype B infections amongst MSM and HET segregating as solitary transmissions or small cluster networks (2–5 members) declined by 70% from 2006–2020, concomitant to advances in treatment-as-prevention. Nonetheless, subtype B epidemic control amongst MSM was thwarted by the ongoing genesis and expansion of super-spreader large cluster variants leading to micro-epidemics, averaging 49 members/cluster at the end of 2020. The growth of large clusters was related to forward transmission cascades of untreated early-stage infections, younger at-risk populations, more transmissible/replicative-competent strains, and changing demographics. Subtype B and non-B subtype infections introduced through recent migration now surpass the domestic epidemic amongst MSM. Phylodynamics can assist in predicting and responding to active, recurrent, and newly emergent large cluster networks, as well as the cryptic spread of HIV introduced through migration.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/13/8/1643HIV-1 transmissionmen having sex with mennon-B subtypesphylogeneticsHIV-TRACEtreatment-as-prevention
spellingShingle Bluma G. Brenner
Ruxandra-Ilinca Ibanescu
Nathan Osman
Ernesto Cuadra-Foy
Maureen Oliveira
Antoine Chaillon
David Stephens
Isabelle Hardy
Jean-Pierre Routy
Réjean Thomas
Jean-Guy Baril
Roger Leblanc
Cecile Tremblay
Michel Roger
The Montreal Primary HIV Infection (PHI) Cohort Study Group
The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)
Viruses
HIV-1 transmission
men having sex with men
non-B subtypes
phylogenetics
HIV-TRACE
treatment-as-prevention
title The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)
title_full The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)
title_fullStr The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)
title_full_unstemmed The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)
title_short The Role of Phylogenetics in Unravelling Patterns of HIV Transmission towards Epidemic Control: The Quebec Experience (2002–2020)
title_sort role of phylogenetics in unravelling patterns of hiv transmission towards epidemic control the quebec experience 2002 2020
topic HIV-1 transmission
men having sex with men
non-B subtypes
phylogenetics
HIV-TRACE
treatment-as-prevention
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/13/8/1643
work_keys_str_mv AT blumagbrenner theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT ruxandrailincaibanescu theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT nathanosman theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT ernestocuadrafoy theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT maureenoliveira theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT antoinechaillon theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT davidstephens theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT isabellehardy theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT jeanpierrerouty theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT rejeanthomas theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT jeanguybaril theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT rogerleblanc theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT ceciletremblay theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT michelroger theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT themontrealprimaryhivinfectionphicohortstudygroup theroleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT blumagbrenner roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT ruxandrailincaibanescu roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT nathanosman roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT ernestocuadrafoy roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT maureenoliveira roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT antoinechaillon roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT davidstephens roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT isabellehardy roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT jeanpierrerouty roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT rejeanthomas roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT jeanguybaril roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT rogerleblanc roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT ceciletremblay roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT michelroger roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020
AT themontrealprimaryhivinfectionphicohortstudygroup roleofphylogeneticsinunravellingpatternsofhivtransmissiontowardsepidemiccontrolthequebecexperience20022020