Relative Entropy and Minimum-Variance Pricing Kernel in Asset Pricing Model Evaluation

Recent literature shows that many testing procedures used to evaluate asset pricing models result in spurious rejection probabilities. Model misspecification, the strong factor structure of test assets, or skewed test statistics largely explain this. In this paper we use the relative entropy of pric...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Javier Rojo-Suárez, Ana Belén Alonso-Conde
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-06-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/7/721
Description
Summary:Recent literature shows that many testing procedures used to evaluate asset pricing models result in spurious rejection probabilities. Model misspecification, the strong factor structure of test assets, or skewed test statistics largely explain this. In this paper we use the relative entropy of pricing kernels to provide an alternative framework for testing asset pricing models. Building on the fact that the law of one price guarantees the existence of a valid pricing kernel, we study the relationship between the mean-variance efficiency of a model’s factor-mimicking portfolio, as measured by the cross-sectional generalized least squares (GLS) <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mrow> <msup> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msup> </mrow> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula> statistic, and the relative entropy of the pricing kernel, as determined by the Kullback–Leibler divergence. In this regard, we suggest an entropy-based decomposition that accurately captures the divergence between the factor-mimicking portfolio and the minimum-variance pricing kernel resulting from the Hansen-Jagannathan bound. Our results show that, although GLS <inline-formula> <math display="inline"> <semantics> <mrow> <msup> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msup> </mrow> </semantics> </math> </inline-formula> statistics and relative entropy are strongly correlated, the relative entropy approach allows us to explicitly decompose the explanatory power of the model into two components, namely, the relative entropy of the pricing kernel and that corresponding to its correlation with asset returns. This makes the relative entropy a versatile tool for designing robust tests in asset pricing.
ISSN:1099-4300